Free NCAA Pick: SMU vs. East Carolina Odds
Looking for SMU Mustangs vs. East Carolina Pirates free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Mustangs taking on the Pirates on Thursday, October 12th at the Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this SMU East Carolina matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(3-2) SMU Mustangs vs. East Carolina Pirates (1-4)
Date: Thursday, October 12th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenview, NC
NCAA Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) SMU -12 | East Carolina +12
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: SMU -467 | East Carolina +340
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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Get ready for a detailed breakdown of the 2023 NCAAF action as we dive into the Thursday night showdown between the SMU Mustangs and the ECU Pirates in the AAC. In Week 7, it’s the (3-2, 2-3 ATS) SMU Mustangs taking on the East Carolina Pirates (1-4, 2-3 ATS) on October 12th at 7:30 ET.
The venue is Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenview, NC, and you can catch the action on ESPN. Weather-wise, expect pleasant high 70’s to low-80’s temperatures with a 0% chance of rain.
When it comes to the betting lines, SMU comes in as favorites at -12, with Moneyline odds of SMU -467 and East Carolina +340. The over/under for the game is set at 51.5 points. Looking back at last season, SMU went 5-8-0 ATS, while ECU posted an 8-5 ATS record.
These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, East Carolina has gone 2-1. The team’s split these games vs. the spread, each going 1-2.
In terms of scoring, SMU and East Carolina averaged 69 points and finished with an over/under record of 1-2.
This Week 7 matchup is a crucial one, and football enthusiasts can’t wait to see how these teams perform. Stay tuned for our expert analysis and predictions to help you make smart bets on this exciting college football clash.
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SMU Mustangs
SMU is coming off a 34-16 win over Charlotte. The Mustangs set the tone early in the game, leading by a score of 14-0 after the first quarter.
SMU has gone into three games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 2-3.
This season, SMU has posted an over/under record of 1-4 through five games. On average their games have combined for 52.2 points.
SMU Mustangs Stats
On offense, the Mustangs come in with the 53rd ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 256 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 48th in terms of attempts.
This season, the Mustangs’ defense has allowed 134 rushing yards per contest, placing them 128th. Opponents are averaging 181.6 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 91.8 when facing SMU.
They currently hold the 83rd spot in NCAA points allowed.
The Mustangs’ finished with 23 pass attempts vs. Charlotte, accumulating 135 yards and two scores. In the rushing game, they averaged 6.0 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
East Carolina Pirates
In East Carolina’s most recent loss to Rice, the Pirates faced a -8-point deficit going into the 4th and were unable to mount a comeback effort, falling 24-17.
Having been the underdog in all of their games so far, East Carolina has an ATS mark of 1-3. Their scoring margin for the season is -4.6 (per game).
This season, East Carolina has posted an over/under record of 2-2 through five games.
On average their games have combined for 46.6 points.
East Carolina Pirates Stats
East Carolina comes into the game with an offense averaging 21, which places them at 80th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 119th nationally, with an average of 169.2 passing yards.
In the rushing department, they’re 93rd in the nation, with 172 rushing attempts per game for the season.
The Pirates’ offense ended the game with one rushing touchdown vs. Rice and 145 rushing yards on 38 attempts. The team’s passing attack did not pick up a score, and finished with 246 while throwing the ball 45 times.
Coming into this week’s game, the East Carolina defense is 75th in points allowed at 25.6 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 210.4 passing yards per game vs. the unit (67th).
On the ground, they are giving up 121.2 rushing yards, putting them 53rd in college football.
SMU Mustangs vs. East Carolina Pirates NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Mustangs are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Pirates are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Mustangs are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Pirates have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Mustangs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Pirates’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
SMU vs. East Carolina Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustangs | -360 | -467 | -9.5 | -12 |
| Pirates | +275 | +339 | +9.5 | +12 |
4* Free Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: East Carolina +12
I’m not saying that ECU will win, but I am saying they put up enough points to keep this one within reach as we hit the 4th quarter. Turnovers in the passing game have been a concern for SMU this season.
In this home underdog scenario, I like East Carolina to cover the spread at +12.
Southern Methodist are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. East Carolina are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played in October.
My model has this one coming in at 55 total points.
We’ve seen the total go OVER in 5 of SMU’s last 5 games when playing on the road against ECU. Plus, the betting total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina’s last 6 games against the Mustangs.
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SMU Mustangs vs. East Carolina Pirates NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/ECUPiratesFB/status/1710405217005556059
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