Free NCAA Pick: SMU vs. Duke Odds
Looking for SMU Mustangs vs. Duke Blue Devils free NCAA Week 9 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Mustangs taking on the Blue Devils on Saturday, October 26th at the Wallace Wade Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this SMU Duke matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(6-1) SMU Mustangs vs. Duke Blue Devils (6-1)
Date: Saturday, October 26th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC
Week 9 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) SMU -11 | Duke +11
Week 9 CFB Moneyline Odds: SMU -422 | Duke +326
College Football Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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SMU Mustangs and Duke Blue Devils are both 6-1 so far this season, and they are set to face off in an Atlantic Coast matchup on Saturday, October 26th. Kick-off is at 8:00 ET from Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham.
The game can be seen on ACCN, with SMU coming in as the heavy favorite at -11 points.
The over/under line is currently 48.5 points.
SMU Mustangs
SMU enters Week 9 with a 6-1 record, ranked 16th in our power rankings.
They are projected to be bowl-eligible and have a 23.5% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. The Mustangs also have the 17th best odds to make the College Football Playoff at 32.3%.
SMU is 3-0 on the road and 2-1 at home this season. They’ve been favored in four of their seven games, going 3-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +20.1 points, and they are 4-2 against the spread.
The Mustangs’ over/under record is 3-3, with their games averaging 61.3 points per contest.
This week’s line is set at 48.5 points, compared to their average over/under line of 54.1 points.
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SMU Mustangs Stats
SMU’s offense is averaging 40.7 points per game, ranking 11th in the nation heading into week 9. Their rushing game has been the focal point, with 208.6 yards per game on 39.6 attempts, placing them 21st nationally.
Brashard Smith leads the ground attack with 625 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored seven touchdowns.
Quarterback Kevin Jennings has thrown for 1,336 yards, completing 66% of his passes, and has a passer rating of 109. He has thrown nine touchdowns and two interceptions. SMU ranks 21st in third-down conversions, with a 45.7% success rate.
Jake Bailey leads the team’s receivers with 260 yards and one touchdown.
SMU’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 9th nationally by allowing just 89.1 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Stanford, they gave up only 33 rushing yards on 35 attempts. The defense also forced two interceptions and allowed just 10 points in the 40-10 win.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed only 52% of their passes against SMU, the 10th-lowest percentage in the country.
This season, SMU’s defense is ranked 31st, giving up an average of 20.6 points per game.
Duke Blue Devils
At 6-1 this season, Duke is 3-0 at home and ranks 64th in our power rankings. While they have a 0.2% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, they are guaranteed to be bowl-eligible.
The Blue Devils have been favored in three games, going 3-0 as the favorite.
Duke’s ATS record stands at 3-1-1, with a +8.6 average scoring margin. They are 2-1 against the spread as the favorite and 1-0-1 as the underdog.
Duke’s over/under record is 1-4, with their games averaging 43.1 points. The average over/under line is 47.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 48.5 points.
Duke Blue Devils Stats
Duke’s offense has been underwhelming heading into week 9, ranking 104th in our offensive power rankings. They are 66th in scoring, averaging 25.9 points per game, and have struggled on third downs, converting just 26.8% of their attempts.
Maalik Murphy leads the passing game with 1,501 yards and 14 touchdowns, but Duke is 75th in passing yards per game, averaging 215.4. Murphy has five interceptions and a passer rating of 89. Star Thomas has rushed for 616 yards this season.
Duke’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 17th nationally by allowing just 17.3 points per game. In their recent matchup against Florida State, they gave up only 16 points and forced two interceptions.
Opponents have averaged 153.6 passing yards per game against Duke, the 11th-lowest total in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 57.7% of their passes with a passer rating of 67.2. On the ground, Duke has allowed an average of 153.4 rushing yards per game.
SMU Mustangs vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The SMU Mustangs are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Duke Blue Devils are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the SMU Mustangs are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Duke Blue Devils have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the SMU Mustangs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Duke Blue Devils’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 9 NCAA Betting Prediction: SMU -11
SMU comes into this game as -11 point favorites over Duke, and we have them winning by a score of 36-20. With the over/under line set at 48.5 points, our projection of 56 points makes the over the best bet.
Take SMU to cover the spread as road favorites, and look for them to win comfortably over Duke.
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SMU Mustangs vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
— Duke Football (@DukeFOOTBALL) October 25, 2024
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