Free Week 8 Prediction: Mustangs vs Bearcats Odds
Looking for SMU Mustangs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats free picks? Week 8 betting sees the Mustangs taking on the Bearcats on Saturday October 21 at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this SMU Cincinnati free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 8
(4-2) SMU Mustangs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (2-5)
Date: Saturday, October 21
Time: 4:00 pm EST
Venue: Nippers Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
NCAA Football Spread: SMU -7.5
NCAA Betting Total: 65.5
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SMU is having a nice season but you have to notice that they haven’t really beaten anyone and haven’t won on the road. This might be a spot where they accomplish the latter. Sorry Bearcats fans.
The Cincy program has fallen far over the last few seasons. They are last in their division and have yet to win an AAC game. There is every reason they are underdogs, even at home.
SMU has one of the best offenses in the country and this season they are converting that into wins. Still until they prove they can win on the road it is hard to know the ceiling of this group within the AAC.
SMU runs an up tempo attack and they are tough to defend as they can both run and throw. The running game features Xavier Jones, nice back, while the passing game features Cortland Sutton, a receiver that might be the best in the college in terms of NFL prospects.
Defense is always the key for the Mustangs. They just can’t stop anybody and ultimately that catches up to you. However, the Bearcats do not have much going on so the defense gets a little pass.
Given the traditions of the programs involved it is still surprising to see the Bearcats as one of the worst programs in the AAC. They might not have hit rock bottom yet.
Hayden Moore has the passing game respectable but even that might be a stretch. Overall the offense does not have much going for it after being sneaky good and graduating pros for a decade.
The defense used to also be underrated but now they are just bad. Even in those rare cases where the offense might given them a shot to win the defense has trouble backing them up. This is not a good matchup.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
- Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Mustangs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Bearcats are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bearcats are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Free Week 8 NCAA Football Pick
SMU is definitely the better team but there might be some market fear given their struggles on the road. They are not going to dominate but they might not have to to get a win and a cover in this matchup.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: SMU -7.5
This number screams teaser and might not move a ton between now and gametime because it is not exactly featuring teams that get a lot of action. If you are playing it straight up don’t wait.
The backdoor does make me nervous in this matchup because that SMU defense is no prize. If they hold the Bearcats under 20 though they should win no problem.
Week 1 Free Score Prediction: SMU 38 – Cincinnati 20
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