Free Week 6 Prediction: Aztecs vs Rams Odds
Looking for San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Rams free picks? Week 6 betting sees the Aztecs taking on the Rams Saturday, October 5, at Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this San Diego State Colorado State Week 6 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week
(3-1) San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Rams (1-4)
Date: Saturday, October 5, 2019
Time: 10:00 pm EST
Venue: Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, Colorado
NCAA Football Spread: San Diego State -7.5
NCAA Betting Total: 51.5
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
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Mountain West Conference rivals clash today as the San Diego State Aztecs visit the Colorado State Rams.
Today’s encounter pits a lockdown Aztecs defense against San Diego State’s impressive offense. Though 1-4, CSU ranks no. 16 in total yards per game (501). Meanwhile, the Aztecs sport the nation’s second-best run defense while allowing just 11.8 points per game.
These teams haven’t met since a lopsided 2016 63-31 Colorado State win.
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While their records are disparate, the Rams have gained scores and yardage this season vs. tougher opponents than San Diego State. CSU laid 30-point performances on Arkansas, Colorado, and Toledo before being outdueled last week 34-24 vs. Utah State.
Conversely, San Diego’s 2019 record is padded by grinding wins over UCLA, New Mexico State and Weber State -teams which held a combined 0-6 record when facing SDSU.
San Diego State Aztecs
A 7.5-point road favorite for Saturday’s contest, the fact remains San Diego hasn’t beaten a program with a win on its record this season. Before their recent off week, the Aztecs were edged 23-17 at home by Utah State.
SDSU’s passing game floundered vs. the Aggies. Senior quarterback Ryan Agnew completed 20 of his 37 passes that day, but threw a critical pick-six to Shaq Bond as Utah State left on winning terms. Further, USU disregarded San Diego State’s offensive line, tallying four sacks, ten tackles for loss and five pass deflections.
Don’t expect half the above output from CSU’s defense, however.
Though, with added pocket time, and an engaged running game, vs. lower tier FBS defense, Agnew and company could control pace and score efficiently Saturday.
Keep an eye on the health status of top SDSU running backs Jordan Byrd and Juwan Washington.
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Both are listed as questionable entering today’s tilt: their status is crucial for an offensively-challenged Aztecs bunch vs. high-scoring CSU.
Colorado State Rams
After losing starter Colin Hill, who began strong, the Rams’ offense declined behind Patrick O’ Brien. O’Brien tallied 14-of-30 completions, 214 yards, and zero scores vs. USU. The Junior passer was hurried five times and couldn’t use his recieving corps as effectively as Hill. Hill, torn ACL, is done for the season.
Facing the nation’s no. 2 rush defense, even if those numbers are somewhat inflated by lesser opposition, with a hobbled passing game and non-existent defense isn’t ideal for Colorado State.
The Rams must hope another week of starter’s reps in practice will familiarize O’Brien with his targets. Not a strong running team, CSU added just 79 yards, but two scores, against conference foe Utah State.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- SDSU are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Under is 7-2 in SDSU last 9 games as a favorite.
- SDSU are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
- Under is 6-2 in CSU last 8 home games.
- Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Road team is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
Free Week 6 NCAA Football Pick
October generally begins re-defining teams’ stats if they’ve played an easy early schedule. Not to fully discredit San Diego State’s rushing defense, it is superb. However, vs. a mutual opponent, one-win CSU played host Utah State almost as well as SDSU played the Aggies at home. There’s something to be said for that.
Yet, when inspecting Colorado State, one sees their offense fared much better before Hill’s ACL tear. It remains uncertain if O’Brien can have similar success. If he can’t, further stress will be placed on an already beleaguered Rams defense.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Lean Under & Colorado State ATS +7.5
When bad offense meets worse defense a few extra points can be expected. Meanwhile, expect less scoring from CSU this week as SDSU erases the run and pressures Pat O’Brien, challenging the unproven variable to beat them.
I’ll take an under today, but still pick CSU to beat the spread vs. a San Diego State team which averages 19 ppg vs. a lax schedule.
Week 6 Free Score Prediction: San Diego State 24- Colorado State 21
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