Free Week 6 Prediction: Aztecs vs Broncos Odds
Looking for San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos free picks? Week 6 betting sees the Aztecs taking on the Broncos on Saturday October 6th at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this San Diego State Boise State free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 6
(3-1) San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos (3-1)
Date: Saturday, October 6th 2018
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
NCAA Football Spread: Boise State -14.5
NCAA Betting Total: 51.5
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This may not be the case this season but generally both of these teams are among the top teams in the Mountain West. San Diego State looks like it might be a little down this season but a win here would turn that around quickly. .
Boise State might have stubbed its toe at Oklahoma State but if everything else goes according to plan this looks like a one loss team that could be in New Year’s day game. If…San Diego State has given them as much trouble as any program over the years.
San Diego State Aztecs
The Aztecs have only one loss, to Stanford, but the performances have not been super inspiring. They did get a nice win against Arizona State but they needed overtime to beat Eastern Michigan the last time out. The teams of a couple of years ago would have slaughtered EMU.
You can look to both offense and defense to see what is missing. On offense, the run game is not quite as dominant as it has been – there probably is not a 2000 yard rusher on the team. On defense they have given up way more through the air then we are used to seeing, a weakness the Broncos will surely try and exploit.
This is the first conference game and their toughest game in the league this season so win or lose this group should be just fine. If they win it, they just might find themselves winning 10 or more games as one of the most solid programs in America.
Boise State Broncos
If you are a Broncos fan that loss to Oklahoma State still smarts. They had an extra week off afterwards and recovered quickly enough to get an easy win over Wyoming. This is one of two conference spots where a loss looks possible. But still not likely.
With the experienced Brett Rypien leading the way it is no surprise that Boise State is one of the best passing teams in the country. It is hard to find a passer with better numbers than his – 70% completion rate with 12 TD and no interceptions.
The defense has been pretty good too not allowing many yards and only yielding 21ppg. Given that San Diego State is no juggernaut this group should be able to have some success. The Broncos have won the last two in the series after dropping back to back games.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 39-18 in SDSU last 57 games in October.
- BSU are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games.
- Under is 15-6 in BSU last 21 home games.
- BSU are 5-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Free Week 6 NCAA Football Pick
These teams have faced off 5 times since 2011 with the Broncos 3-2 SU during that time. The only time the final score was within this kind of range were home losses for the Aztecs. SDSU has covered their last two times on the blue turf.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: San Diego State +14.5
The Aztecs are going to want this to be as slow a game as possible. That means they have to be able to run the ball effectively and disrupt the rhythm of Rypien and the Broncos passing attack.
I think they can have some success on both front giving them an opportunity to cover if not press the Broncos to the wire. This game is probably more urgent for Boise State than the Aztecs, who could very well meet again in the title game.
Week 6 Free Score Prediction: Boise State 34 – San Diego State 24
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