Free Week 4 Prediction: Hornets vs Bulldogs Odds
Looking for Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs free picks? Week 4 betting sees the Hornets taking on the Bulldogs Saturday September 21st at Bulldog Stadium in Fresno, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Sacramento State Fresno State Week 4 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 4
(2-1) Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (0-2)
Date: Saturday, September 21st
Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: Bulldog Stadium, Fresno, California
NCAA Football Spread: Bulldogs -26.5
NCAA Betting Total: 53.5
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This week four matchup will see the Fresno State Bulldogs out of the Mountain West take on Sacramento State Hornets out of the Big Sky conference. It is also worth mentioning that Sacramento State play at the FCS level.
These teams last met in 2016, a game that Fresno State won 31-3.
Sacramento State Hornets
The Hornets have started the season 2-1 after blowout wins over Southern Oregon and Northern Colorado. The combined score in these two wins was 127-19, so they have put up offensive numbers against teams at the FCS level.
The most surprising result for the Hornets was a 19-7 loss to Arizona State. They were a 35-point underdog in this game, so to hold a PAC-12 team to just 19 points was impressive.
Last week against Northern Colorado, the Hornets put up 50 points. They racked up 614 total yards in this game as well.
The offense was successful in both the passing and rushing game. Their quarterback, Kevin Thompson, threw for 361 yards, five touchdowns an one interception.
Their rushing offense was led by Marcus Fulcher, who had 60 yards on 10 carries and 1 touchdown. They totaled 246 rushing yards, but really had a balance between 7 guys.
Their defense look very impressive against Northern Colorado, allowing just 132 passing yards and 39 rushing yards in the game. Fresno State will be a much tougher test, but the Hornets proved they could slow down an FCS level opponent earlier this year when they held the Sun Devils to 19 points.
Fresno State Bulldogs
The Bulldogs had a week three bye and after starting 0-2, it was much needed. They actually played two very close games, losing to USC by 8 and losing to Minnesota by 3 in overtime.
This is their final non-conference game, so they cannot afford to look ahead too much even against a FCS team.
Offensively, the Bulldogs are scoring an average of 29 points per game. This is only 71st in the country. They also gain an average of 403.5 yards per game, which ranks 74th in the country. Quarterback, Jorge Reyna has thrown for a total of 544 yards and 5 touchdowns this year. He also has 3 interceptions. Fresno State should have a ton of success on the offensive side of the ball, but it is not likely that they will score in the 40’s even against a lower tier team.
The defensive has not played great this season, allowing an average of 34.5 points per game, which ranks 110th in the country. They will not give up this many points against the Hornets, but I could see them allowing at least a touchdown here. Maybe more if their quarterback continues to make some mistakes.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento State’s last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Fresno State’s last 12 games.
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Pick
Fresno State comes off their bye week and will fix some of their previous mistakes. They win this game pretty easily and get ready for conference play.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: UNDER 53.5
I look for Fresno State to shut down the Hornets, but they will not go out and score enough to push the total over. That said, the under is my play for this game.
Week 4 Free Score Prediction: Sacramento State 7 – Fresno State 34
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