Free Week 11 Prediction: Scarlet Knights vs Nittany Lions Odds
Looking for Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Scarlet Knights taking on the Nittany Lions Saturday November 11th at Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Rutgers Penn State free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(4-5) Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-2)
Date: Saturday, November 11th
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania
NCAA Football Spread: Penn State -31.0
NCAA Betting Total: 52.5
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Two straight conference road losses has the Nittany Lions’ playoff hopes hanging by a thread.
Rutgers on the other hand has responded from last season’s 2-10 record with a 4-5 start this year and have their eyes on a possible bowl bid.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Rutgers finds themselves in 5th in the Big 10 East – behind the big dogs of Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, and Michigan.
But with a 3-3 record in Big 10 play, the Scarlet Knights have definitely surprised people this season.
With 2 wins in the last 3 games, Rutgers would be bowl bound but with 2 of those games being Michigan State and Penn State their chances are slim.
Despite their 3 wins in conference, Rutgers has proven to be no match for the conference’s best teams. They have wins over Illinois, Maryland, and Purdue. But they lost to Nebraska, Ohio State, and Michigan by a combined 87 points.
They have struggled to move the ball through the air this season – averaging just 127 passing yards per game. That could be problematic for them if they get down early and want to fight their way back.
In their second to last game last season, Rutgers fell 39-0 to Penn State at home – managing just 87 yards of total offense.
They were exploited by Penn State’s rushing attack as they surrendered 339 rushing yards at 6.9 yards per carry. The Scarlet Knights have improved this season but they still are a bit away from competing with the big dogs of the Big 10.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State was already going to have a tough time making the College Football Playoff after losing to Ohio State. But after last week’s loss to Michigan State, the Nittany Lions are going to need lots of help in order to get in.
In the meantime, they have to take care of the rest of their opponents and hope a strong finish can make up for their two losses if some other teams drop.
Saquon Barkley has been neutralized a bit in their last two games after establishing quite the Heisman campaign early on. I would expect him to break back out though against a Rutgers defense that is allowing 5.1 yards per rushing attempt this season.
The Scarlet Knights have one of the weaker fronts in the conference and they are only sacking the quarterback on 3.8% of dropbacks. If they can’t stop the run or get any pressure on Trace McSorley, they will have no chance at stopping the Nittany Lions.
Penn State can’t afford to overlook Rutgers even slightly because anything less than a dominant performance will be damaging to their remaining playoff hopes.
They don’t have a bad loss on their schedule so the eye test could come into play if Penn State starts to be brought up again by the College Football Playoff committee.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Penn State is 9-0-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
- Rutgers is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team with a winning record
- Penn State is 12-2-2 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
- Rutgers is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
The Nittany Lions shouldn’t be deflated by their loss last week as it was a close game against a very good Michigan State team. The Buckeyes embarrassing loss at Iowa may be enough to overrule their head to head win over Penn State if it came down to it. So the Nittany Lions will have to be dominant the rest of the way and hope for chaos and they may have a chance.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Penn State -31
This line will likely continue to rise all week and be close to 35 by game time. I would jump on it as soon as possible as Rutgers is so far behind Penn State from a talent standpoint that even a discouraged Penn State squad will roll over them.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Penn State 52 – Rutgers 13
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