Free NCAA Pick: Purdue vs. Michigan State Odds
Looking for Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Boilermakers taking on the Spartans on Friday, November 22nd at the Spartan Stadium (MI). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Purdue Michigan State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(1-9) Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans (4-6)
Date: Friday, November 22nd
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Spartan Stadium (MI), East Lansing, MI
Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Purdue +13.5 | Michigan State -13.5
Week 13 CFB Moneyline Odds: Purdue +401 | Michigan State -547
College Football Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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Ready for a spirited Friday night Big Ten showdown? Purdue and Michigan State meet for the 69th time, rekindling a matchup last played in 2021 when the Boilermakers triumphed 40-29.
Michigan State is favored by -13.5 points as they host the Purdue Boilermakers in a week 13 matchup at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing (MI). Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET, and the game will be broadcast on FOX.
While Purdue has endured a brutal 1-9 season (0-7 in conference), Michigan State’s 4-6 (2-5 Big Ten) record offers a glimmer of hope for bowl eligibility.
The Spartans hold the all-time series edge at 36-29-3, but don’t overlook the Boilermakers’ ability to disrupt plans, even as heavy underdogs (+401 moneyline).
The over/under line is currently 48.5 points.
The money line odds have the Spartans at -547 and Purdue at +401. Purdue comes in with a 1-9 record, while Michigan State is 4-6 on the season.
Purdue Boilermakers
Purdue enters Week 13 against Michigan State with a 1-9 record, ranked 114th in our power rankings. They have no chance of reaching bowl eligibility this season.
The Boilermakers have been underdogs in all 10 games, with an average scoring margin of -21.7 points. They are 0-7 against the spread this year.
Purdue’s over/under record is 4-3, with their games averaging 56.1 points. This week’s line is 48.5 points, compared to their average line of 49.8 points.
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Purdue Boilermakers Stats
Heading into week 13, Purdue’s offense is averaging just 17.2 points per game, placing them 94th nationally. They rank 104th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is 33.3%, and they are 114th in passing yards, averaging 181.1 yards per game. They are 72nd in passing attempts.
Hudson Card leads Purdue’s passing game with 1,264 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 82. Devin Mockobee has rushed for 652 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jahmal Edrine leads the receivers with 278 yards and two touchdowns.
Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, ranking 102nd in the nation by allowing 38.9 points per game. In their recent game against Penn State, they gave up 49 points, surrendering 539 total yards, including 305 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air.
Opponents have averaged 204.3 rushing yards per game against Purdue, while quarterbacks have posted a 108.8 passer rating and completed 65.8% of their throws, averaging 251.1 passing yards per game.
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State enters Week 13 against Purdue with a 4-6 record, sitting 74th in our power rankings. They have a 35.9% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. At home, the Spartans are 2-2 this season.
They’ve been favored in just one game this season, going 1-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -6.1 points, and they are 4-5 against the spread.
The over/under line for this week is 48.5 points. Michigan State’s games have averaged a total of 44.9 points, with their over/under record at 5-4 and an average line of 46 points.
Michigan State Spartans Stats
Michigan State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 19.4 points per game, which ranks them 87th in the nation. Heading into week 13, they are 75th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is only 38.2%, and they rank 104th in rushing, with 117.1 yards per game.
Quarterback Aidan Chiles has thrown for 2,106 yards and has a passer rating of 79, with 10 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Michigan State is 51st in passing attempts per game. Leading receiver Nick Marsh has 611 yards and three touchdowns this season.
Michigan State’s defense has allowed 25.5 points per game this season, including 38 points in their recent 38-16 loss to Illinois. In that game, they gave up 370 total yards, with 231 yards through the air and 139 yards on the ground, while forcing no turnovers.
Opponents have averaged 198.4 passing yards per game against Michigan State, completing 61.1% of their passes. The Spartans have faced the 28th fewest passing attempts in the nation, but they rank 102nd in passer rating allowed. On the ground, they’ve allowed 132.2 rushing yards per game, facing 32.7 rushing attempts per contest.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Purdue Boilermakers are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Michigan State Spartans are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Purdue Boilermakers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Michigan State Spartans have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Purdue Boilermakers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Michigan State Spartans’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 13 NCAA Betting Prediction: Purdue +13.5
A chilly, breezy night sets the stage for a grind-it-out affair, with the total sitting at 48.5. Can the Spartans’ shaky offense capitalize, or will Purdue play spoiler?
Michigan State is favored by -13.5 points in their week 13 matchup against Purdue. Our projected score for this game is 26-20 in favor of Michigan State, but we like Purdue to cover the spread as the road underdog.
With the over/under line set at 48.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projections have the combined score at 46 points. This is a strong lean, I really think the defenses will show up in this one.
Get ready for classic Big Ten football—expect drama, grit, and maybe a surprise twist!
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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Game Week in EL pic.twitter.com/mbPSs4sxnF
— Michigan State Football (@MSU_Football) November 19, 2024
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