Free Week 12 Prediction: Boilermakers vs Hawkeyes Odds
Looking for Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Boilermakers taking on the Hawkeyes Saturday November 18th at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Purdue Iowa free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(4-6) Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (6-4)
Date: Saturday, November 18th
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa
NCAA Football Spread: Iowa -7.5
NCAA Betting Total: 41.5
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Iowa followed up their blowout upset win over Ohio State with 66 total yards of offense last week against Wisconsin.
They will hope to find something closer to their Ohio State form against a Purdue team that is on their last legs for a bowl bid.
A 3-2 start for the Boilermakers with a soft schedule to follow made a bowl bid seem like nearly a guarantee.
Now, their chances of making a bowl game are on life support as the quality of their play has decreased significantly from the opening weeks.
Elijah Sindelar will now be the guy at quarterback as he and David Blough have been sharing the role but Blough is now out for the season.
The Purdue defense has been one of the best in the Big 10 all season – allowing none of their opponents to reach 30 points since Louisville scored 35 in the season opener.
They are allowing just 3.7 yards per rush and only 35 percent of third down attempts to be converted.
But on offense, they have just been a mess the last several weeks. They are converting just 31 percent of third down attempts and are 101st in the FBS in scoring.
Their defense should keep them in the game especially since Iowa has been inconsistent on offense but they will need Sindelar to make some plays – like against Minnesota when he completed 73 percent of his passes for 250 yards and didn’t turn the ball over.
Iowa just put together a two game stretch of likely the best performance by a Big 10 team this season followed by the worst performance by a Big 10 team this season.
They capitalized on several turnovers in their game against Ohio State to put 55 points on the board. Last week, they managed just 11 more total yards than they did points the week before.
Neither result represents what Iowa has been as a football team this season – they probably fall somewhere near the middle.
Their success has come throwing the football – as Kyle Stanley is enjoying a nice season of 1970 yards along with a 22 to 5 touchdown to interception ratio.
But, they only have been throwing the football 46% of the time – instead relying on a run game that is managing just 3.7 yards per carry.
Iowa has the edge at most of the position groups but if they commit to running the football against a very stout Purdue run defense, they are going to have a tough time putting drives together and could allow Sindelar to make something happen for Purdue.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Iowa is 6-1 SU in their last 7 home games against Purdue.
- The under is 8-2 in Purdue’s last 10 games
- Iowa is 6-9-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
Everything about this game screams a low scoring contest but 41.5 is just so scary to take an under. A few turnovers or special teams plays that lead to short fields and points could add up real quickly. I like Purdue to keep this close in the low scoring affair.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Purdue +7.5
This is a bounce back spot for Iowa but outside of the Ohio State game, they don’t have the explosiveness to put teams away. I think Sindelar will make enough plays and the defense will hold strong and Purdue will keep this within a touchdown.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: Iowa 23 – Purdue 20
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