Free NCAA Pick: Purdue vs. Illinois Odds
Looking for Purdue Boilermakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Boilermakers taking on the Fighting Illini on Saturday, October 12th at the Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Purdue Illinois matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(1-4) Purdue Boilermakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-1)
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL), Champaign, IL
Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Purdue +19.5 | Illinois -19.5
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: Purdue +817 | Illinois -1511
College Football Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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Illinois is the heavy favorite in this week seven matchup against Purdue, with the point spread set at -19.5 in their favor. The game is scheduled for 3:30 ET at Memorial Stadium in Champaign, IL, and will be broadcast on FS1. The over/under line is currently at 49.5 points. Illinois comes in with a 4-1 record, while Purdue is looking to improve on their 1-4 start to the season.
Purdue Boilermakers
Purdue enters Week 7 against Illinois with a 1-4 record and ranks 114th in our power rankings. They have a 0% chance of reaching bowl eligibility this season.
The Boilermakers have gone 0-2 at home and 0-2 on the road, with an average scoring margin of -18.2 points per game. They are 0-4 against the spread this year.
Purdue’s over/under record is 3-1, with their games averaging 55.4 points. The average over/under line has been 47.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 49.5 points.
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Purdue Boilermakers Stats
Heading into week 7, Purdue’s offense ranks 124th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 18.6 points per game. Hudson Card has thrown for 738 yards, with seven touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 88. Purdue ranks 118th in passing yards per game, averaging 161.2 yards, and they have converted only 30.5% of their third-down attempts.
Devin Mockobee leads the rushing attack with 362 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, but he has only one rushing touchdown. Purdue is 90th in rushing, averaging 141 yards per game. Jahmal Edrine leads the receivers with 103 yards on seven catches.
Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.8 points per game. In their recent 52-6 loss to Wisconsin, they gave up 52 points, including 589 total yards. Wisconsin ran for 228 yards and four touchdowns, while Purdue’s secondary allowed 361 passing yards, though they did manage two interceptions.
Opponents have averaged 240.4 rushing yards per game against Purdue, and quarterbacks have posted a 94.3 passer rating, completing 60.4% of their throws. Purdue’s defense has faced the 13th fewest pass attempts in the country, averaging 22.4 per game, and they rank 55th in passing yards allowed, giving up 195 yards per game.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois enters Week 7 against Purdue with a 4-1 record, ranked 47th in our power rankings. They have a 97.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.2% chance of winning the Big Ten. At home, they are 2-0 this season.
Illinois has covered the spread in two of their three games, with an average scoring margin of +13 points. They are 2-0 against the spread as underdogs but 0-1 as favorites.
Their over/under record is 0-3, with their games averaging 41.4 points. This week’s line is 49.5 points, slightly below their average line of 49.9 points.
Illinois Fighting Illini Stats
Heading into week 7, Illinois ranks 58th in points per game, averaging 27.2, and we have them 52nd in our offensive power rankings. Their run game has been underwhelming, with 132.8 rushing yards per game, placing them 95th nationally. Kaden Feagin leads the team with 306 rushing yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry.
Quarterback Luke Altmyer has thrown for 1,047 yards, completing 70% of his passes with 11 touchdowns and just one interception. His passer rating is 118. Illinois ranks 16th in passer rating and 17th in completion percentage. They are 44th in passing completions, averaging 18.6 per game. Pat Bryant leads the receiving corps with 342 yards and six touchdowns on 22 catches.
Illinois’ defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 11th nationally by allowing just 14.2 points per game. They’ve given up 133.6 rushing yards per game and 177.4 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks posting a 68.1 passer rating.
In their recent game against Penn State, Illinois allowed 21 points, giving up 237 passing yards but holding Penn State to just 87 rushing yards on 29 attempts.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Purdue Boilermakers are 0-5 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Illinois Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Purdue Boilermakers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Illinois Fighting Illini have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Purdue Boilermakers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Illinois Fighting Illini’s have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: Purdue +19.5
Our projections have Illinois winning this matchup 28-20, but with Purdue coming in as heavy road underdogs at +19.5, we like their chances to cover the spread. For a straight-up winner, we would lean towards Illinois.
With the over/under line set at 49.5 points, our projection of 48 combined points suggests that taking the under is the best play for this game.
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