Free NCAA Pick: Penn State vs. West Virginia Odds
Looking for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. West Virginia Mountaineers free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Nittany Lions taking on the Mountaineers on Saturday, August 31st at the Milan Puskar Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Penn State West Virginia matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Penn State Nittany Lions vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (0-0)
Date: Saturday, August 31st
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV
Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Penn State -7.5 | West Virginia +7.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Penn State -322 | West Virginia +254
College Football Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State is ranked 6th in our pre-season power rankings, with a 98.9% chance of being bowl-eligible. Last season, the Nittany Lions finished with a 10-3 record, including going 2-0 as the underdog and 8-3 as the favorite. They also had a 4-1 record on the road and went 6-2 at home.
Our power rankings give Penn State a 22.6% chance of winning the Big Ten, and the odds have them as the 3rd best bet in the conference (+478, 17%). Additionally, the Nittany Lions have the 5th highest odds of making the college football playoff and a 13.6% chance of appearing in the National Championship game.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Penn State’s passing game last season was ranked 72nd in the country, averaging 215 yards per game, while their rushing attack was more successful, ranking 32nd with 186.4 yards per game. The Nittany Lions were 16th in the nation in scoring, putting up 36.2 points per game. Quarterback Drew Allar, who threw for 2,631 yards and 25 touchdowns with just two interceptions, returns as the team’s top passer.
Kaytron Allen, who rushed for 902 yards last season, is back to lead the ground game. Penn State will also look to wide receiver Julian Fleming, who transferred from Ohio State after recording 270 yards last season. Harrison Wallace III, who had 228 receiving yards last year, also returns to the team.
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Opposing quarterbacks had a tough time against Penn State last season, as the Nittany Lions’ defense held them to a passer rating of just 70.1, which was the 15th lowest in the country. Overall, Penn State allowed just 13.5 points per game, ranking 4th nationally. Their run defense was particularly strong, giving up only 77.7 rushing yards per game, the 5th best mark in college football. In the passing game, Penn State allowed 172.1 yards per game (23rd).
West Virginia Mountaineers
West Virginia is +700 to make it to the Big 12 Conference title game this season, with futures odds of +1699 to win the conference. The Mountaineers are currently ranked 36th in our pre-season power rankings, with a 62% chance of being bowl-eligible. Their odds to win the Big 12 are set at 3.8%.
Last season, West Virginia finished with a 9-4 overall record, going 6-1 at home and 3-3 on the road. They were 5-0 as underdogs and 4-4 as favorites. The Mountaineers are coming into the season with the 36th best power ranking, and we are giving them a 62% chance of being bowl-eligible this season.
West Virginia Mountaineers Stats
West Virginia’s offense was 32nd in the country in scoring last season, putting up 31.5 points per game. The Mountaineers were a run-heavy unit, ranking 6th in both rushing yards per game (230.3) and rushing attempts per game (42.9). Their passing game was less effective, with an average of 205.7 yards per game, placing them 76th nationally. However, they were 5th in passing yards per completion and 17th in passing yards per attempt.
Quarterback Garrett Greene returns after throwing for 2,406 yards and 16 touchdowns last season. He also added 772 rushing yards and 13 rushing touchdowns. Jahiem White, who ran for 842 yards last season, is also back to lead the ground game. Hudson Clement is the top returning receiver, and the team has added Jaden Bray from Oklahoma State to bolster the receiving corps.
West Virginia’s defense allowed 26.2 points per game last season, ranking them 57th in the nation. They had a tough time stopping the pass, giving up 236.8 passing yards per game (117th). On the ground, the Mountaineers ranked 70th, allowing 145.2 rushing yards per game. Quarterbacks also had a passer rating of 92.9 against them, putting West Virginia 108th in the country.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. West Virginia Mountaineers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Penn State Nittany Lions are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the West Virginia Mountaineers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Penn State Nittany Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the West Virginia Mountaineers have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Penn State Nittany Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The West Virginia Mountaineers’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Penn State -7.5
Our projections have Penn State winning their week one matchup against West Virginia by a score of 36-20. With the Nittany Lions being -7.5 point favorites, we expect them to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 50.5 points, we have a total of 56 points, so we recommend taking the over.
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