Free NCAA Pick: Penn State vs. USC Odds
Looking for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. USC Trojans free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Nittany Lions taking on the Trojans on Saturday, October 12th at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Penn State USC matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(5-0) Penn State Nittany Lions vs. USC Trojans (3-2)
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Penn State -5.5 | USC +5.5
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: Penn State -211 | USC +173
College Football Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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USC is the host for this week seven matchup against Penn State, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Penn State comes in with a perfect 5-0 record, and the Nittany Lions are favored by -5.5 points over the Trojans. The over/under line is currently at 47.5 points. The game is being televised on CBS, and the money line odds are -211 for Penn State and +173 for USC.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State heads into Week 7 against USC with a 5-0 record, ranked 9th in our CFB power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 12.6% chance of winning the Big Ten. The Nittany Lions also hold a 62.8% chance of making the CFB playoff, the 7th best odds in the nation.
So far, Penn State is 4-0 at home and 1-0 on the road, with an average scoring margin of +23 points per game. They’ve been favored in all five games but have a 2-3 record against the spread this season.
The over/under line for this week is 47.5 points. Penn State’s games have averaged 45.8 points, and their average over/under line has been 50.8 points, with a 1-4 record against the total this year.
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Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Penn State’s offense is averaging 34.4 points per game, placing them 28th in the nation as they head into week 7. However, they are ranked 16th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is the focal point, with 220.6 yards per game on the ground, ranking 31st in rushing attempts.
Nicholas Singleton leads the rushing game with 408 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 1,101 yards, with nine touchdowns and one interception, giving him a passer rating of 130.
Penn State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 7th nationally by allowing just 11.4 points per game. In their recent matchup against UCLA, they gave up only 11 points, holding the Bruins to 260 total yards, including 93 rushing yards on 29 attempts and 167 passing yards.
Opponents are averaging just 81.4 rushing yards per game against Penn State, the 8th-lowest mark in the country. Through the air, quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of only 70.1, completing 53.4% of their passes for an average of 157 yards per game, which ranks 16th nationally.
USC Trojans
USC enters Week 7 against Penn State with a 3-2 record, ranked 13th in our power rankings. They are undefeated at home (3-0) but winless on the road (0-2). The Trojans have been favored in four of their five games, going 2-2 as the favorite. We project a 93.7% chance of USC becoming bowl-eligible this season.
Their ATS record stands at 3-2, with a perfect 3-0 mark at home and 0-2 on the road. As favorites, they are 2-2 against the spread, while they’ve covered in their lone game as underdogs. USC’s average scoring margin is +12.4 points per game.
USC’s over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 49.2 points. Their average over/under line has been 54.3 points, and this week’s line is set at 47.5 points.
USC Trojans Stats
USC’s offense is averaging 30.8 points per game heading into week 7, ranking 42nd in the nation. They are 29th in our offensive power rankings. The Trojans have relied heavily on their passing game, ranking 7th in passing attempts and 9th in completions, with 292.8 yards per game through the air. Their third-down conversion rate is 51.5%, 10th best in the country.
Miller Moss leads USC’s passing attack with 1,398 yards and a passer rating of 91. He has thrown nine touchdowns and four interceptions, completing 64.5% of his passes. Woody Marks leads the rushing game with 468 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Ja’Kobi Lane has 234 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
USC’s defense, ranked 22nd nationally, is allowing 18.4 points per game this season. In their recent game against Minnesota, they gave up 24 points, including three rushing touchdowns, while allowing 195 rushing yards and 169 passing yards.
Opponents are averaging 158.4 passing yards per game against USC, which ranks 19th in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 66.2% of their passes with an 80 passer rating. USC’s defense has faced the 21st fewest passing attempts nationally and is allowing 158.4 rushing yards per game.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. USC Trojans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Penn State Nittany Lions are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the USC Trojans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Penn State Nittany Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the USC Trojans have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Penn State Nittany Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The USC Trojans’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: USC +5.5
USC is the +5.5 point underdog at home in their week seven matchup against Penn State. Our projections have USC winning straight-up, with a final score of 31-26. With USC as the home underdog, we recommend betting on them to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 47.5 points, our projections suggest a combined score of 57 points, making the over the best bet for this matchup.
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