Free NCAA Pick: Penn State vs. Purdue Odds
Looking for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Nittany Lions taking on the Boilermakers on Saturday, November 16th at the Ross-Ade Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Penn State Purdue matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(8-1) Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers (1-8)
Date: Saturday, November 16th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Penn State -28.5 | Purdue +28.5
Week 12 CFB Moneyline Odds: Penn State -8214 | Purdue +1984
College Football Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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When the Penn State Nittany Lions take on the Purdue Boilermakers, history screams dominance for the blue and white. Penn State has owned this matchup, winning the last 10 straight in a streak that dates back to 2004.
Overall, the Nittany Lions boast a commanding 16-3 series edge since these teams first clashed in 1951.
But hey, past records don’t always predict the future—this is college football, where anything can happen under the Saturday lights. Penn State’s consistency and talent pool make them tough to bet against, but Purdue’s knack for the unexpected means you can never count them out completely.
Penn State comes into this game with an 8-1 record, looking to take care of business on the road vs. Purdue. The game is set for 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th, and will be broadcast on CBS.
The over/under line is 50.5 points, and Penn State is the heavy favorite at -28.5 points.
Purdue has just one win this season and is +1984 on the money line compared to Penn State at -8214.
This one’s a tale of tradition meeting tenacity—perfect for a Week 11 showdown!
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State heads into Week 12 against Purdue with an 8-1 record and the 8th spot in our power rankings. They’re a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 3.1% chance of winning the Big Ten. However, they hold the 5th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 80.7%.
The Nittany Lions are 5-1 at home and 2-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in seven of their nine games, going 7-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +17.2, and they are 4-4 against the spread, with a 2-0 road ATS record and a 2-4 mark at home.
Penn State’s over/under record is 1-7, with their games averaging 45.2 points. This week’s line is 50.5 points, slightly above their average line of 49.8 points for the season.
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Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Heading into week 12, Penn State’s offense is averaging 31.2 points per game, placing them 36th in the nation. However, they are ranked 10th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack averages 197.8 yards per game on 37.4 attempts.
Kaytron Allen leads the team with 634 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 2,006 yards, completing 70.3% of his passes, with 13 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 110.
Penn State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 14 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 103.3 rushing yards per game, which is 15th-best in the country, and 169.2 passing yards per game, ranking 20th.
In their latest game, Penn State’s defense gave up only 6 points and 193 total yards against Washington. They allowed just 74 rushing yards on 33 attempts and 119 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
Purdue Boilermakers
Purdue enters Week 12 against Penn State with a 1-8 record, and they are ranked 109th in our power rankings. They have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.
The Boilermakers have been underdogs in all nine games, and their average scoring margin is -19.8 points per game. Against the spread, they are 0-6 this season.
Purdue’s over/under record is 3-3, with their games averaging 55.8 points. This week’s line is set at 50.5 points, slightly above their average line of 49.6 points.
Purdue Boilermakers Stats
Purdue’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 18 points per game, placing them 92nd nationally. They rank 102nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 33%, and they are 112th in passing yards, averaging 177.1 yards per game. They are 84th in passer rating.
Hudson Card leads Purdue’s passing attack with 1,113 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83. The team is 81st in passing attempts per game. On the ground, Devin Mockobee has 612 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jaron Tibbs leads the receivers with 232 yards and two touchdowns.
Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 37.8 points per game, ranking them 99th nationally. In their recent 45-0 loss to Ohio State, they gave up 45 points and 433 total yards, including 260 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.
Opponents have averaged 245.1 passing yards per game against Purdue, completing 64.1% of their passes. On the ground, Purdue has allowed 201 rushing yards per game, ranking 153rd in the country.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Penn State Nittany Lions are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Purdue Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Penn State Nittany Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Purdue Boilermakers have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Penn State Nittany Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Purdue Boilermakers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 12 NCAA Betting Prediction: Penn State -28.5
Our projections suggest that Penn State will win their week 12 matchup against Purdue by a score of 39-6. With Penn State being -28.5 point favorites, we recommend taking them to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 50.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our model projects a combined score of 45 points.
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Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
2⃣4⃣ to go.#BoilerUp | @purdueglobal pic.twitter.com/SasgVsSfsl
— Purdue Football (@BoilerFootball) November 15, 2024
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