Free NCAA Pick: Penn State vs. Northwestern Odds
Looking for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcats free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Nittany Lions taking on the Wildcats on Saturday, September 30th at the Ryan Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Penn State Northwestern matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(4-0) Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcats (2-2)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Ryan Field
NCAA Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Penn State -26.0 | Northwestern +26
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Penn State -6229 | Northwestern +1532
College Football Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Penn State picked up the 17-7 win (last year). In the win, Penn State ran for 220 yards and threw for 140. On 3rd down, the Nittany Lions went 4/15.
On the other side, Northwestern completed 15 of their 37 passes for 210 yards and ran for 31 yards.
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Penn State Nittany Lions
In their most recent game, Penn State matched up with Iowa and came out on top with a 31-0 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Penn State held a 21-point lead.
Penn State’s record vs. the spread this season is a perfect 3-0. So far, they have been the underdog in all four of their games and have a scoring differential of +31.8.
The average point total in Penn State’s four games is currently 49.2 points per game.
This has led to an over/under record of 1-2 for the Nittany Lions.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
On offense, the Nittany Lions come in with the 26th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 239.8 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 5th in terms of attempts.
Defensively, the Nittany Lions enter the game with 13 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 8.8 points per game thus far this season (12th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 9th in the NCAA, giving up 138 passing yards per game.
Against the run, Penn State has allowed 81.5 rushing yards per contest thus far.
Offensively, the Nittany Lions went 9/20 on 3rd down vs. Iowa and finished with 397 yards of offense. In the passing game, they had four touchdowns and 182 yards.
The Nittany Lions did not score on any of their 57 rushing attempts and ended with 215 rushing yards.
Northwestern Wildcats
Northwestern is coming off a thrilling 37-34 win over Minnesota. The two teams needed overtime to settle the game, as they were all tied at 31-31 at the end of regulation.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Penn State, the Wildcats have been favored in two games and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 1-2.
After four games, the average over/under line in Northwestern’s matches stands at 41.2 points.
The collective score in their games has averaged 49.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 2-1.
Northwestern Wildcats Stats
Northwestern comes into the game with an offense averaging 24, which places them at 63rd in the NCAA rankings.
Their passing game has them ranked 64th nationally, with an average of 239.8 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 109th in the nation, with 120 rushing attempts per game for the season.
In the passing game, the Wildcats threw the ball 51 times for 400 and four scores against Minnesota. On the ground, they averaged 3.2 yards per carry and finished with one rushing touchdown
In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Northwestern’s defense is ranked 149th.
Opponents, on average, attempt 24.5 passes against the Wildcats. They are allowing 25.8 PPG, which places them 70th in college football.
Their rush defense ranks 129th in the NCAA.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcats NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Nittany Lions are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Wildcats are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Nittany Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Wildcats have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Nittany Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Wildcats’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Penn State vs. Northwestern Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nittany Lions | -4000 | -6229 | -26 | -26 |
Wildcats | +1400 | +1532 | +26 | +26 |
4* Free Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Northwestern +26
Northwestern’s pass defense has some momentum after containing Minnesota’s passing attack in their last game. Even as 26 point underdogs at home, I’m backing them to cover against Penn State.
My model has this one at 49 points total, so play the OVER 45.
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Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcats NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
What didn’t happen in Week 4? 📈🤌
Buckle up and recap all last week’s action with @lolowithrow. pic.twitter.com/33FmQYTGzn
— Northwestern Football (@NUFBFamily) September 26, 2023
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