Free NCAA Pick: Penn State vs. Minnesota Odds
Looking for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Nittany Lions taking on the Golden Gophers on Saturday, November 23rd at the Huntington Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Penn State Minnesota matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(9-1) Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-4)
Date: Saturday, November 23rd
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Penn State -11.5 | Minnesota +11.5
Week 13 CFB Moneyline Odds: Penn State -461 | Minnesota +344
College Football Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Let’s dive into the electrifying Week 13 NCAA matchup between Penn State and Minnesota! The Nittany Lions hold a commanding 10-6 series edge and are coming off a 45-17 beatdown of the Gophers in 2022.
At 3:30 ET, Penn State and Minnesota will face off at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. This week 13 matchup is being televised by CBS, and Penn State is coming in with a 9-1 record this season. The Gophers are 6-4 on the season.
This year, Penn State is laying -11.5 points with an O/U of 45.5, and they’re a -461 favorite on the moneyline. At 9-1, the Lions boast one of the Big Ten’s most explosive offenses, while Minnesota, sitting at 6-4, has battled to a 2-2-1 ATS record as underdogs in their last five.
With both teams deep into conference play, expect intensity, drama, and plenty of action for bettors.
Will the Gophers rise to the occasion, or will Penn State flex its dominance again?
Buckle up for a Big Ten thriller!
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State enters Week 13 with a 9-1 record, ranked 7th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 1.9% shot at winning the Big Ten. However, they hold the 6th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 88.9%.
The Nittany Lions are 5-1 at home and 3-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in eight games, going 8-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +19.4 points, and they are 5-4 against the spread, with a 3-0 ATS record on the road.
Penn State’s over/under record is 2-7, with their games averaging 46.6 points. This week’s line is 45.5 points, lower than their average O/U line of 50 points, and they’ve averaged a -3.4 margin against the total.
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Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Penn State’s offense ranks 27th in points per game, averaging 33, but they are 9th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Drew Allar has thrown for 2,253 yards, completing 71.9% of his passes, and has 16 touchdowns with five interceptions. His passer rating is 116.
Penn State ranks 3rd in the nation in completion percentage and third down conversions, converting 52.5% of their attempts. They are 24th in rushing, averaging 201.4 yards per game. Kaytron Allen leads the ground game with 654 yards. Harrison Wallace III has 533 receiving yards on 31 catches.
Penn State’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 13.6 points per game. They’ve given up only 101.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 13th in the country, and 174 passing yards per game.
In their recent game against Purdue, the defense allowed just 10 points, holding the Boilermakers to 85 rushing yards on 28 carries and 217 passing yards.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
At 6-4, Minnesota is guaranteed bowl eligibility, but they have no chance of winning the Big Ten. They are ranked 35th in our CFB power rankings heading into their Week 13 matchup against Penn State. The Golden Gophers are 3-2 at home and 2-2 on the road this season.
Minnesota has a +9 average scoring margin and a 6-2-1 record against the spread. They are 4-1 ATS as the favorite and 3-1-1 at home.
Their over/under record is 4-5, with an average line of 43.1 points. This week’s line is set at 45.5 points, and their games have averaged 44.4 points per contest.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Stats
Minnesota’s offense is averaging 26.7 points per game, placing them 60th in the nation, and they are ranked 62nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their passing game has been the focus, ranking 35th in passing attempts per game, and 27th in completions, with an average of 228.6 yards per game. They are 15th in the country in completion percentage, converting 67.2% of their passes, and they have a third-down conversion rate of 46.6%, which ranks 18th.
Max Brosmer has thrown for 2,251 yards this season, with a completion percentage of 67.1%. He has 14 touchdown passes and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 96. Darius Taylor leads the rushing attack with 672 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Daniel Jackson has 712 receiving yards on 63 catches this season.
Minnesota’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 11th nationally by allowing just 17.7 points per game. They are also 26th in the country in passing yards allowed, giving up only 176.6 yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks posting a passer rating of 63.1, the 9th-lowest in the nation. On the ground, Minnesota has allowed 121 rushing yards per game, ranking 43rd.
In their recent game against Rutgers, Minnesota’s defense gave up 26 points. They allowed 375 total yards, with 137 rushing yards on 36 attempts and 238 passing yards. Rutgers also recorded 24 first downs in the game.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Penn State Nittany Lions are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Minnesota Golden Gophers are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Penn State Nittany Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Minnesota Golden Gophers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Penn State Nittany Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Minnesota Golden Gophers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 13 NCAA Betting Prediction: Minnesota +11.5
Our projection for the Penn State vs. Minnesota matchup is a 27-21 win for Penn State. Even though Penn State is the -11.5 point favorite, we like Minnesota to cover the spread as the underdog.
With the over/under line set at 45.5 points, our model has this one at a combined total of 48, and we suggest that taking the over is the best play for this game.
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Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Celebrating our Seniors on Saturday on CBS! #RTB #SkiUMah #Gophers
⏰ 2:30 PM CT
📅 Saturday, Nov. 23
🏟️ Huntington Bank Stadium
📰 https://t.co/z7khvYCPAH pic.twitter.com/lXjlNJQj6H— Minnesota Football (@GopherFootball) November 20, 2024
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