Free NCAA Pick: Penn State vs. Maryland Odds
Looking for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins free NCAA Week 10 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Nittany Lions taking on the Terrapins on Saturday, November 4th at the SECU Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Penn State Maryland matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(7-1) Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins (5-3)
Date: Saturday, November 4th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: SECU Stadium, College Park, MD
NCAA Week 10 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Penn State -11 | Maryland +11
Week 10 CFB Moneyline Odds: Penn State -436 | Maryland +320
College Football Betting Total: O/U 50
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There may not be much room for an upset, right? Maryland’s defense might not be strong enough to contain Penn State’s offense. But is there a chance? Let’s take a closer look. #9 Penn State (7-1, 4-1 Big Ten) is facing off against Maryland (5-3, 2-3) this Saturday at SECU Stadium, kicking off at 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX).
Maryland is on a three-game losing streak, including a surprising 33-27 loss to Northwestern as a 14.5-point favorite. Meanwhile, Penn State narrowly won 33-24 against Indiana but failed to cover as a 31-point home favorite.
Here are the latest odds: Moneyline (ML) – Penn State (-350), Maryland (+270), and Against the Spread (ATS) – Penn State -8.5 (-110). The Over/Under (O/U) Total is set at 51.5 points.
The most recent time Penn State and Maryland met up, Penn State walked away with a 30-0 win. The Penn State offense threw the ball 30 times vs. Maryland finishing with 164 passing yards.
Overall, Maryland finished with 134 yards of offense.
Penn State has a strong grip on this series, holding a commanding 42-3-1 lead. Their most impressive winning streak spanned 24 games, lasting from 1962 to 1988.
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Penn State Nittany Lions
In their most recent game, Penn State matched up with Indiana and came out on top with a 33-24 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Penn State held a 10-point lead.
Against the spread, Penn State has gone 5-2 this season. The Nittany Lions have been favored six times compared to one game as the underdog.
This season, Penn State has an over/under record of 4-3. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 50.4 points, with the typical over/under line being 47 points.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Penn State comes into the game with an offense averaging 38.9, which places them at 10th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 86th nationally, with an average of 217.6 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 42nd in the nation, with 335 rushing attempts per game for the season.
So far this season, the Nittany Lions’ defense has given up 74.8 rushing yards per game against the run (199th). Opponents are averaging 160.2 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 61.9 against Penn State. In terms of points allowed, they are 102nd in the NCAA.
The Nittany Lions’ ended with 31 pass attempts vs Indiana, racking up 210 yards and three scores. In the rushing department, they averaged 3.3 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
Maryland Terrapins
In the Maryland’s most recent 33-27 loss to Northwestern, they were unable to pull it out late, despite cutting into Northwestern’s 27-20 lead going into the 4th.
Maryland has gone into six games as the favorite this season and one game as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 3-4.
So far this season, Maryland boasts an over/under record of 4-3. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 53 points, while the average over/under line has been 51.1 points.
Maryland Terrapins Stats
In the rushing game, the Terrapins are currently 79th in college football with 246 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 138 rushing yards per game, putting them 84th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 38.4 passes and 280.5 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 35th, averaging 32.6 points per game.
In the game against Northwestern, the Terrapins’ offense generated 391 yards of offense, with 117 coming from rushing plays and 274 from passing plays. On third down, they converted 7 out of 15 attempts and threw three touchdowns in total.
In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Maryland’s defense is ranked 108th. Opponents, on average, attempt 31.9 passes against the Terrapins. They are allowing 20.4 PPG, which places them 74th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 33rd in the NCAA.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Nittany Lions are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Terrapins are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Nittany Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Terrapins have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Nittany Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Terrapins’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Penn State vs. Maryland Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nittany Lions | -450 | -436 | -11 | -11 |
| Terrapins | +325 | +320 | +11 | +11 |
4* Free Week 10 NCAA Betting Prediction: Maryland +11
Penn State has been dealing with turnovers in their passing game so far this year. My point spread pick is to take Maryland to cover the spread at +11.
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Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Hopefully it makes a difference…
Saturday in our sights#TBIA pic.twitter.com/qu9y2CxDZE
— Maryland Football (@TerpsFootball) November 2, 2023
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