Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Boise State Broncos CFP Quarterfinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction

Free NCAA Pick: Penn State vs. Boise State Odds

Looking for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Boise State Broncos free NCAA College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Nittany Lions taking on the Broncos on Tuesday, December 31st at the State Farm Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Penn State Boise State Fiesta Bowl matchup.

2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl

2024 Fiesta Bowl
(12-2) Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Boise State Broncos (12-1)
Date: Tuesday, December 31st
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Penn State -10.5 | Boise State +10.5
College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl CFB Moneyline Odds: Penn State -437 | Boise State +329
College Football Betting Total: O/U 52

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Get ready for a clash of titans in the College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl! The undefeated No. 3 Boise State Broncos and No. 6 Penn State Nittany Lions are set to light up the desert in a battle with CFP semifinal dreams on the line.

ESPN will be covering the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl as Penn State and Boise State face off in the college football playoff quarterfinal.

The game is set for 7:30 ET on Tuesday, December 31st, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, with Penn State favored by -10.5 points. Both teams come in with 12 wins, and the over/under line is currently at 52 points.

These teams have Fiesta Bowl magic in their DNA, boasting a flawless 10-0 combined record in this iconic venue. With Penn State’s powerhouse defense and Boise State’s explosive playmakers, the stakes couldn’t be higher.

The Lions enter as favorites (-437), but the Broncos (+329) thrive as underdogs.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State heads into the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl with a 12-2 record, facing Boise State in the College Football Playoff Quarterfinal. The Nittany Lions are 7-1 at home and 4-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in 11 of their 14 games, going 11-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +18 points per game.

Against the spread, Penn State is 7-6 overall, with a 4-4 record at home and 3-2 on the road. As the favorite, they are 7-4 ATS this season.

The over/under line for this week is set at 52 points. Penn State’s games have averaged an over/under line of 49.9 points, with their over/under record at 5-8 for the season.

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Penn State Nittany Lions Stats

Penn State’s offense ranks 5th in our offensive power rankings heading into this bowl game, and they are 21st in scoring, with 33.9 points per game. Their ground game is their strength, averaging 202.6 rushing yards per game on 37.6 attempts, both 11th in the nation.

Nicholas Singleton leads the rushing attack with 928 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored 8 touchdowns. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 3,021 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions, with a passer rating of 107.

Penn State’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 13th nationally by allowing just 15.9 points per game. They’ve also given up only 102.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 13th in the country, and 179.6 passing yards per game.

In their last game, a 38-10 win over SMU, the defense allowed just 10 points and 58 rushing yards on 36 attempts. They also forced three interceptions while giving up 195 passing yards.

Boise State Broncos

Boise State enters the College Football Playoff quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl with a 12-1 record, going 6-0 at home and 5-1 on the road. They’ve been favored in 11 of their 13 games, and they are 11-0 as the favorite this season.

The Broncos have a +17.2 average scoring margin this season, and their ATS record is 7-4-1. At home, they are 4-2 against the spread, and they’ve gone 6-4-1 ATS as the favorite.

This week’s over/under line is 52 points, the lowest they’ve faced all season. Boise State’s over/under record is 6-6, with their games averaging 61 points and an average line of 60.4 points.

Boise State Broncos Stats

Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, averaging 252.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 4th nationally. Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 2,497 yards, scoring 29 touchdowns, and averaging 7 yards per carry. The Broncos are 3rd in scoring, with 39.1 points per game, and they have converted 49.1% of their third-down attempts, which ranks 6th. They are 10th in our offensive power rankings heading into the Fiesta Bowl.

Maddux Madsen leads the passing game with 2,714 yards and 22 touchdowns, while throwing just three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 101. Boise State is 58th in passing yards per game, averaging 219.6 yards. Cameron Camper leads the receivers with 837 yards and four touchdowns.

Boise State’s defense has allowed 21.9 points per game this season, ranking 35th nationally. They’ve given up 246.8 passing yards per game, ranking 137th, with opposing quarterbacks posting a 93.7 passer rating and completing 61.2% of their passes. Against the run, Boise State has allowed just 115.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 29th in the country.

In their latest game, Boise State’s defense gave up just 7 points, allowing 12 first downs. UNLV ran the ball 38 times for 145 yards and completed 6 passes for 148 yards.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Football Betting Trends

• The Penn State Nittany Lions are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
• Conversely, the Boise State Broncos are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
• Also, the Penn State Nittany Lions are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the Boise State Broncos have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
• Over the Penn State Nittany Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
• The Boise State Broncos’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.

4* Free College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Penn State -10.5

We have Penn State winning this 2025 Fiesta Bowl matchup against Boise State by a score of 35-22. Penn State is favored by -10.5 points, and we see them covering the spread as the road favorite.

With the over/under line set at 52 points, our projection of 57 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this game.

This isn’t just a game—it’s a Fiesta Bowl masterclass in college football excellence.

Buckle up, bettors—it’s going to be a wild ride!

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Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day

‘ #BleedBlue | #BuiltDifferent pic.twitter.com/yBSvdu1OCt

— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) December 23, 2024

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