Free Week 14 Prediction: Rebels vs Bulldogs Odds
Looking for Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs free picks? Week 14 betting sees the Rebels taking on the Bulldogs Thursday, November 28th at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Ole Miss Mississippi State Week 14 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 14
(4-7) Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-6)
Date: Thursday, November 28th, 2019
Time: 7:30 pm EST
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Mississippi
NCAA Football Spread: Mississippi State -3
NCAA Betting Total: 58
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
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This Thanksgiving matchup will see the Ole Miss Rebels take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The rivalry between these teams is known as the Egg Bowl. Both teams have losing records, but the Bulldogs can still become bowl eligible.
Note that the away team has won the Egg Bowl the past four years in a row.
Ole Miss Rebels
The Rebels are coming off their bye week and got crushed by LSU 58-37 last time they played a game. They are now unable to play in December, but at the same time this game will mean everything to their team. They always want to beat Mississippi State no matter what their record is and they can actually keep the Bulldogs out of bowl contention with a win.
Even though the Rebels got shredded defensively, their offense put on quite a show against the number one team in the country. They racked up 614 yards of offense, which should give them a ton of confidence for this game as well. Specifically, their rush offense has been lights out as they average 261.5 yards per game on the ground. This is the 7th best rushing attack in the country and will be the key to beating the Bulldogs.
Against LSU, they ran for 402 yards on 44 carries. Just to show how good this offense can be, they had two rushers of 100+ yards and quarterback, John Rhys Plumblee, had 212 yards rushing with four touchdowns.
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Their defense has been beaten up this year and are allowing an average of 27 points per game. Luckily, Mississippi State’s offense is nowhere near the level of LSU, so the Rebels should have much more success.
They need to be careful against the pass because that is their weakest area. They do however rank 34th in rush defense, and that is what the Bulldogs will be trying to do.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Bulldogs got a win over a cupcake last week and now will be fighting for their bowl lives. They will be looking to win the Egg Bowl for the second year in a row, something that has not happened in a decade.
Mississippi State has struggled this season on offense. They are averaging 28.2 points per game, ranking just 75th in the country. Their biggest strength on offense is their run game, averaging 228.5 yards per game, the 19th best rushing attack in the country.
Their passing game however, has not bee good, as they average 182.2 yards per game, ranking 107th in the country.
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Defense has also been somewhat of an issue for the Bulldogs. They do not defend the pass well an against the run, they are average at best.
The Bulldogs are allowing 33.7 points per game against the SEC and I do not know how they are going to slow down this Ole Miss rushing attack.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Mississippi State are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Thu. games.
- Mississippi State are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Ole Miss are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
Free Week 14 NCAA Football Pick
I actually like the offense for the Rebels more than what the Bulldogs have to offer. That said, I will take Ole Miss to pull the outright upset.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Ole Miss Rebels +3
I believe the rushing attack of the Rebels will be too much for the Bulldogs to handle and I will gladly take the points in this game with Ole Miss.
Week 14 Free Score Prediction: Ole Miss 34 – Mississippi State 28
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