Free NCAA Pick: Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Odds
Looking for Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Rebels taking on the Bulldogs on Thursday, November 23rd at the Davis Wade Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Ole Miss Mississippi State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(9-2) Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-6)
Date: Thursday, November 23rd
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
NCAA Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Ole Miss -11.5 | Mississippi State +11.5
Week 13 CFB Moneyline Odds: Ole Miss -467 | Mississippi State +346
College Football Betting Total: O/U 55.5
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Ole Miss (9-2, 5-2 SEC, 6-4-1 ATS) is set to clash with Mississippi State (5-6, 1-6 SEC, 3-8 ATS) at Davis Wade Stadium on Thursday, with the game kicking off at 7:30 p.m. ET and airing on ESPN. This matchup is famously known as the “Egg Bowl,” a Thanksgiving night tradition that’s been celebrated 23 times, consistently since 2017.
Ole Miss holds the historical advantage, leading the series 64-46-6.
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For those interested in the odds, here they are: Ole Miss boasts a Moneyline (ML) of -720, while Mississippi State sits at +500. Furthermore, the spread (ATS) stands at Ole Miss -14 (-110) and Mississippi State +14 (-110), with a total Over/Under (O/U) of 56.5.
Mississippi State will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 24-22 win over Ole Miss. Mississippi State’s defense made things tough for Ole Miss up front as Ole Miss only ran for 78 yards.
On offense, Mississippi State ended the game with 239 passing yards and 97 rushing yards.
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Ole Miss Rebels
In their most recent game, Ole Miss matched up with UL Monroe and came out on top with a 35-3 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Ole Miss held a 18-point lead.
Ole Miss has gone into seven games as the favorite this season and three games as the underdog.
Their ATS record is currently 5-4-1.
Through 11 games, the average over/under line in Ole Miss’ games is 60 points. Their games have averaged a combined 60.2 points leading to an OU record of 4-6.
Ole Miss Rebels Stats
Ole Miss enters the game on offense with an average of 36.5, ranking them 16th in the NCAA.
Their passing game has them at 17th in the nation, with an average of 293 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 43rd in rushing yards, with an average of 436 rushing attempts per game this season.
The Rebels defense comes into the game with 33 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries.
In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 23.7 points per game (89th).
When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 87th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 221.2 passing yards per game. Additionally, Ole Miss’ run defense comes in allowing 157 rushing yards per contest.
Offensively, the Rebels finished with one score on the ground against UL Monroe while running for 127 rushing yards.
In the passing attack, Ole Miss scored four times and threw the ball 36 times for 371 yards.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down Southern Miss by a score of 41-20.
So far, Mississippi State has been favored two times and the underdog in seven games.
This has led to an ATS record of 2-7 and an average scoring differential of -4.3.
This season, Mississippi State has posted an over/under record of 6-3 through 11 games. On average their games have combined for 50.6 points.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
Heading into their matchup vs. Ole Miss, the Bulldogs’ offense is averaging 151.6 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt.
They currently hold the 77th rank in rushing yards and 110th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 179.5 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Mississippi State is at 23.2 points per game, which is 74th in the NCAA.
In the passing game, the Bulldogs threw the ball 27 times for 144 and two scores against Southern Miss. On the ground, they averaged 5.6 yards per carry and finished with one rushing touchdown
Mississippi State’s defense ranks 112th in points allowed, with 27.5 points given up per game.
Teams have been averaging 214.5 passing yards against them (75th nationally).
On the ground, they’ve conceded 141.2 rushing yards, putting them 63rd in college football.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Rebels are 2-2-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Rebels are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bulldogs have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Rebels’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Bulldogs’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebels | -590 | -451 | -13.5 | -11.5 |
| Bulldogs | +410 | +336 | +13.5 | +11.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NCAA Betting Prediction: Mississippi State +11.5
In their recent outings, the Rebels dominated Louisiana-Monroe with a 35-3 victory. However, they’ve struggled ATS, going 0-2-1 in their last three games. On the other hand, the Bulldogs kept their bowl hopes alive by triumphing 41-20 over Southern Miss, covering the spread as an 18.5-point favorite.
For a moneyline bet, I like Ole Miss to pick up the win. However, my recommendation is to stick to the moneyline, as our model gives Mississippi State a decent chance at covering.
For the point spread, I’m backing Mississippi State at +11.5.
Mississippi are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Mississippi State.
I believe the Mississippi State rushing game will take full advantage of the issues in Ole Miss’ defense, which had trouble defending the run in their last game. Make your bet now on Mississippi State with +11.5.
The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Ole Miss and Mississippi State finishing with a combined 54 points. With the over/under line sitting at 55.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi’s last 6.
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Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Let’s Do This!
https://twitter.com/HailStateFB/status/1727114670782488936
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