Free NCAA Pick: Old Dominion vs. Liberty Odds
Looking for Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Liberty Flames free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Monarchs taking on the Flames on Saturday, November 11th at the Williams Stadium (VA). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Old Dominion Liberty matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(4-5) Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Liberty Flames (9-0)
Date: Saturday, November 11th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA
NCAA Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Old Dominion +13.5 | Liberty -13.5
Week 11 CFB Moneyline Odds: Old Dominion +428 | Liberty -616
College Football Betting Total: O/U 58
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In their recent matchup, the Monarchs faced off against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, ending with a 28-24 loss. Meanwhile, the Flames had a strong performance in their latest game, securing a convincing 56-30 victory against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.
The most recent time Liberty and Old Dominion met up, Liberty walked away with a 38-24 win. In the game, Liberty threw for 268 yards while averaging 15.8 yards per completion.
Old Dominion ran for 118 compared to 210 for Liberty.
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Old Dominion Monarchs
Despite jumping out to a seven-point lead in the first quarter, Old Dominion lost their most recent game vs. Coastal Carolina by a score of 28-24.
So far, Old Dominion has been favored two times and the underdog in seven games. This has led to an ATS record of 6-3 and an average scoring differential of -1.8.
Across nine games, the average over/under line in Old Dominion’s matchups is 51.9 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 50.7 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-4.
Old Dominion Monarchs Stats
Old Dominion’s offense has put up an average of 24.4 points per game, placing them 68th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 203.1 passing yards on average, ranking 93rd in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 66th position in rushing yards, with 330 rushing attempts per game this season.
Old Dominion’s defense sits at 97th for points allowed, allowing 26.2 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 244 passing yards per game against them (132nd nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 147.7 rushing yards, ranking them 88th in college football.
The Monarchs’ offensive performance against Coastal Carolina resulted in 345 yards of offense, with 173 gained on the ground and 172 through the air. Their third-down conversion rate was 4/13, and they recorded three passing touchdowns.
Liberty Flames
The Flames are looking to ride the momentum of their convincing 56-30 win over Louisiana Tech.
Having been favored in all of their games so far, the Flames have a 6-1 vs. the spread. Liberty’s average scoring margin for the season is +17.2 points per game.
So far in this season, Liberty has posted an over/under record of 5-2. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 61 points, with the typical over/under line set at 55.6 points.
Liberty Flames Stats
On offense, the Flames come in with the 92nd ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 217.7 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 3rd in terms of attempts.
The Flames’ finished with 25 pass attempts vs. Louisiana Tech, accumulating 297 yards and four scores. In the rushing game, they averaged 6.8 yards per carry and notched four rushing touchdowns.
Liberty’s defense sits at 77th for points allowed, allowing 21.9 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 241 passing yards per game against them (128th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 113.9 rushing yards, ranking them 34th in college football.
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Liberty Flames NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Monarchs are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Flames are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Monarchs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Flames have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Monarchs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Flames’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Old Dominion vs. Liberty Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Monarchs | +440 | +428 | +13.5 | +13.5 |
Flames | -600 | -616 | -13.5 | -13.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Prediction: Liberty -13.5
I’ve got my eye on a compelling trend that’s pointing me towards supporting Liberty with a -13.5 ATS on Saturday. Here’s why: Old Dominion has struggled on the road, winning just one out of their last seven games (1-6 SU).
Meanwhile, Liberty has been performing well, covering the spread in eight of their last ten games (8-2 ATS). They’ve also been unbeaten in their last nine games (9-0 SU) and have a perfect record of five wins in their last five home games (5-0 SU).
So, it seems like a promising opportunity to back Liberty this weekend.
My choice is to go with Liberty at -13.5.
Also, we’re going OVER 58 on the total this week. My model has it at 60 (for a minimum). Bet the OVER.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Liberty’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
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Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Liberty Flames NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Bedgood…ahhh….I get it.
🆎 had a Bedgood performance on Saturday 😎 pic.twitter.com/xgtxt3hQXY
— Liberty Football (@LibertyFootball) November 8, 2023
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