Free NCAA Pick: Ohio State vs. Michigan State Odds
Looking for Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Buckeyes taking on the Spartans on Saturday, September 28th at the Spartan Stadium (MI). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Ohio State Michigan State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(3-0) Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans (3-1)
Date: Saturday, September 28th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Spartan Stadium (MI), East Lansing, MI
Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Ohio State -24.5 | Michigan State +24.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Ohio State -3954 | Michigan State +1400
College Football Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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PEAC will be handling the television broadcast as the Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan State Spartans face off in a week five matchup. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET from Spartan Stadium in East Lansing. The Buckeyes are favored by -24.5 points, and the over/under line is currently at 49.5 points. Ohio State comes in with a 3-0 record, while Michigan State is 3-1 on the season.
MSU’s last victory over the Buckeyes came in 2015, a thrilling 17-14 upset that propelled them to the Big Ten Championship and a spot in the College Football Playoff. Can the Spartans pull off another upset, or will Ohio State continue their reign?
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State improved to 3-0 with a 49-14 victory over Marshall in their most recent game. Despite being 40-point favorites, the Buckeyes did not cover the spread. The over/under line was set at 56.5 points, but the teams combined for 63 points, hitting the over.
After a 7-7 tie in the first quarter, Ohio State took control in the second quarter, outscoring Marshall 21-7. The Buckeyes then shut out Marshall in the second half while adding 21 more points of their own in the third quarter and 7 in the fourth quarter.
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Ohio State Buckeyes Stats
Ohio State’s offense was dominant in their 49-14 win, racking up 570 total yards. The ground game was particularly effective, with the Buckeyes rushing for 281 yards and five touchdowns. Quinshon Judkins led the way with 173 yards on just 14 carries, averaging 12.4 yards per rush and finding the end zone twice. The passing game added 289 yards and two touchdowns, with Will Howard completing 16 of 20 passes for 275 yards and two scores. His passer rating for the game was 131.25.
Emeka Egbuka was the top receiver for Ohio State, hauling in five catches for 117 yards. The Buckeyes moved the chains 23 times and scored seven touchdowns, showing great balance and efficiency on offense.
Ohio State’s defense will be looking to tighten up after allowing 269 total yards and 139 passing yards in their most recent game. Marshall found some success on the ground, rushing for 130 yards and a touchdown. The Buckeyes’ secondary gave up 139 passing yards on 18 completions, but they did hold Marshall to just 14 points.
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State is looking to bounce back after a narrow 23-19 loss to Boston College on the road. Despite the defeat, the Spartans covered the spread as +4.5 point underdogs. The game’s over/under was set at 45.5 points, but the teams combined for just 42, resulting in an under. Michigan State is now 3-1 for the season.
The Spartans fell behind early, with Boston College taking a 3-0 lead in the first quarter. Michigan State managed to outscore them 10-6 in the second quarter, but they still trailed 13-10 at halftime. The Spartans tied the game at 16-16 by the end of the third quarter, but they were outscored 7-3 in the fourth quarter, resulting in their first loss of the season.
Michigan State Spartans Stats
Michigan State’s offense put up 368 yards in their most recent game, with 241 yards coming from Aidan Chiles through the air. Chiles completed 17 of 35 passes (48.6%) and threw three interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 35.54. Montorie Foster Jr. was his top target, hauling in four receptions for 87 yards.
The Spartans’ offense moved the chains 21 times but struggled to protect the ball, throwing three interceptions. The ground game produced 127 yards, with Kay’ron Lynch-Adams leading the way with 61 yards on 15 carries. Michigan State’s offense will look to take better care of the ball in their next game.
Michigan State’s defense will be looking to tighten up against the run after allowing 163 rushing yards and two touchdowns to Boston College. The Spartans gave up a total of 303 yards and 23 points, with their pass defense holding up better, limiting Boston College to 140 yards through the air on 10 completions.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Ohio State Buckeyes are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Michigan State Spartans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ohio State Buckeyes are 2-6-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Michigan State Spartans have gone 6-2-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ohio State Buckeyes’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Michigan State Spartans’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Michigan State +24.5
When it comes to NCAA picks, the Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans matchup is one to watch. The Spartans have been scrappy underdogs, covering the spread in three of their last five games as the underdog. They’ve also proven tough to beat at home, boasting a 6-2-2 record over their last ten games in East Lansing.
Historically, though, Ohio State has dominated this rivalry, leading the series 37-15, with a commanding 19-5 edge in Michigan State’s own backyard.
Ohio State is the heavy favorite in their week five matchup against Michigan State, with the point spread set at -24.5. We expect the Spartans to cover this spread, with a projected final score of 40-17.
For the over/under, with the line at 49.5 points, our recommendation is to take the over, as our projected total of 57 points is OVER the line.
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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
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— Nathan Carter (@_natecarter5) September 26, 2024
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