Free NCAA Pick: Notre Dame vs. Duke Odds
Looking for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Duke Blue Devils free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Fighting Irish taking on the Blue Devils on Saturday, September 30th at the Wallace Wade Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Notre Dame Duke matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(4-1) Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Duke Blue Devils (4-0)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium
NCAA Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Notre Dame -5.5 | Duke +5.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Notre Dame -214 | Duke +173
College Football Betting Total: O/U 52
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There wasn’t a head-to-head matchup between Notre Dame and Duke last season. Since Notre Dame initiated its ACC scheduling arrangement, the Fighting Irish and Blue Devils have faced each other on three occasions, with the Irish securing a 2-1 lead in those matchups.
These games averaged a combined total of 73 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-0-1.
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame’s most recent game was against Ohio State, resulting in a 17-14 loss to the Buckeyes.
So far, Notre Dame has been a good bet vs. the spread, as they are a perfect 4-0. Their average scoring margin this season is at +26.8, while being favored one time and the underdog in three games.
Across five games, the average over/under line in Notre Dame’s matchups is 51.8 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 52.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 2-2.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Stats
In the rushing game, the Fighting Irish are currently 12th in college football with 178 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 198.8 rushing yards per game, putting them 5th nationally.
Their passing game has averaged 26.4 passes and 278.4 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 4th, averaging 39.6 points per game.
The Fighting Irish defense will take the field with seven sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 12.8 points per game (37th). Against the pass, the team is 16th in the NCAA, allowing 149.4 passing yards per game.
Additionally, Notre Dame’s run defense has 111.6 rushing yards per contest.
The Fighting Irish’s ended with 25 pass attempts vs Ohio State, racking up 175 yards and one score. In the rushing department, they averaged 4.5 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
Duke Blue Devils
Defensively, the Blue Devils put together a good game vs. UConn as they are coming off a 41-7 against the Huskies.
Against the spread, Duke is a perfect 3-0. So far, they have been favored one time and the underdog in two games.
So far in this season, Duke has posted an over/under record of 2-1. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 46 points, with the typical over/under line set at 49 points.
Duke Blue Devils Stats
On the offensive side, Duke has averaged 37.2 points per game this season. This figure has them 24th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 224 passing yards, is ranked 81st nationally.
In terms of rushing, they’re 27th in rushing yards with an average of 142 rushing attempts per contest this season.
Offensively, the Blue Devils finished with three scores on the ground against UConn while running for 74 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Duke scored one time and threw the ball 34 times for 248 yards.
This season, the Blue Devils’ defense has allowed 133 rushing yards per contest, placing them 120th. Opponents are averaging 143.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 59 when facing Duke.
They currently hold the 97th spot in NCAA points allowed.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Fighting Irish are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Fighting Irish are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Blue Devils have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Fighting Irish’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Blue Devils’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Notre Dame vs. Duke Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fighting Irish | -182 | -214 | -4 | -5.5 |
| Blue Devils | +148 | +173 | +4 | +5.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Notre Dame -5.5
This game has me leaning towards Notre Dame to cover at -5.5. Notre Dame displayed a strong rushing game in their recent matchup with Ohio State, and I anticipate that momentum carrying into this week’s game.
My bet will be on Notre Dame to cover the spread before the game begins. Notre Dame are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games on the road, plus they’re 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the ACC.
My model has this one at 58 points total, so play the OVER 52.
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/DukeFOOTBALL/status/1707016594327752704
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