
Free NCAA Pick: North Texas vs. SMU Odds
Looking for North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Mean Green taking on the Mustangs on Friday, November 10th at the Gerald J. Ford Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this North Texas SMU matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(3-6) North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs (7-2)
Date: Friday, November 10th
Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX
NCAA Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) North Texas +16.5 | SMU -16.5
Week 11 CFB Moneyline Odds: North Texas +554 | SMU -841
College Football Betting Total: O/U 66.5
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Friday night brings college football excitement with an intriguing AAC conference showdown. If you’re eager for some NCAA football gambling action, take a peek at this matchup before placing your bets at your preferred offshore sportsbook.
It’s the North Texas Mean Green (3-6, 5-3-1 ATS) facing off against the SMU Mustangs (7-2, 5-4 ATS) at 9 pm ET, live from Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX. You can catch the game on ESPN2.
In terms of the latest Week 11 NCAA ATS Betting Lines, SMU is a significant favorite with a spread of -16.5. For those interested in moneyline odds, North Texas is sitting at +554, while SMU stands at -841 for straight-up bets. Additionally, the College Football Betting Total is set at O/U 66.5.
In their previous game, the Mean Green suffered a 37-29 loss to UTSA, while SMU secured a solid 36-31 victory over Rice.
This matchup is famously known as the SAFEWAY BOWL, a cross-city rivalry between the Dallas Fort Worth (Region) that dates all the way back to 1922. The inaugural game saw SMU dominate with a 66-0 victory, and since then, these teams have crossed paths 41 times in total, with SMU leading the series 35–6–1.
SMU will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 48-10 win over North Texas. In the win, SMU ran for 150 yards and threw for 426. On 3rd down, the Mustangs went 7/13.
On the other side, North Texas completed 16 of their 34 passes for 220 yards and ran for 202 yards.
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North Texas Mean Green
Despite cutting to UTSA’s big 4th quarter lead, North Texas still fell by a score of 37-29 in their most-recent game.
So far, North Texas has been favored two times and the underdog in six games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-2-1 and an average scoring differential of -1.9.
Across nine games, the average over/under line in North Texas’ matchups is 62.8 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 71.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-4.
North Texas Mean Green Stats
In the rushing game, the Mean Green are currently 47th in college football with 321 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 180.2 rushing yards per game, putting them 35th nationally.
Their passing game has averaged 38.6 passes and 301.7 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 20th, averaging 34.8 points per game.
North Texas’ defense holds the 138th rank in passing yards allowed per game as they head into this game. On average, opponents have made 27.4 passing attempts against the Mean Green.
They have given up 36.7 points per game, which places them at 136th in college football. In the rush defense category, they rank 184th in the NCAA.
The Mean Green’s ended with 38 pass attempts vs UTSA, racking up 272 yards and two scores. In the rushing department, they averaged 4.8 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
SMU Mustangs
SMU most recently faced off against Rice, picking up a 36-31 win over the Owls.
SMU has gone into seven games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 5-4.
Over nine games, the average over/under line for SMU’s games has been 59.1 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 55.9 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-5.
SMU Mustangs Stats
SMU’s rushing attack is ranked 34th in college football with 339 rushing attempts per game.
This has translated into an average of 175.1 rushing yards per game, placing them 42nd nationally. On average, they are attempting 34.6 passes per game leading to 291.2 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 8th position, averaging 40 points per game.
The Mustangs’ finished with 35 pass attempts vs. Rice, accumulating 261 yards and two scores. In the rushing game, they averaged 5.4 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
SMU’s defense is ranked 188th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 29.6 passing attempts against the Mustangs.
They have given up 15.9 points per game so far, placing them 54th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 40th.
North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Mean Green are 4-0-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Mustangs are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Mean Green are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Mustangs have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Mean Green’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Mustangs’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
North Texas vs. SMU Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean Green | +575 | +552 | +15.5 | +16.5 |
| Mustangs | -850 | -837 | -15.5 | -16.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Prediction: North Texas +16.5
If you’re a believer like I am, you believe that North Texas’ team this year has the chops to hang with SMU this week! I believe. You should too.
North Texas are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games, they cover spreads! It’s what they do.
SMU has also had some turnover problems in their passing game this year.
I’m going with North Texas as the away underdogs to cover the spread at +16.5.
This one also stays UNDER the total, as we’ve seen the total go UNDER in 4 of North Texas’ last 5.
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North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Kickers gettin’ some LOVE. 💗
https://twitter.com/American_Conf/status/1721558890624487778
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