Free NCAA Pick: North Carolina vs. Minnesota Odds
Looking for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tar Heels taking on the Golden Gophers on Thursday, August 29th at the Huntington Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this North Carolina Minnesota matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (0-0)
Date: Thursday, August 29th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) North Carolina +1.5 | Minnesota -1.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: North Carolina +103 | Minnesota -126
College Football Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina is 82.8% likely to be bowl-eligible this season, according to their 43rd-place power ranking heading into the season. Last year, the Tar Heels finished with an 8-5 record, going 7-1 at home and 1-4 on the road. They were favored in 11 of their 13 games, going 7-4 as the favorite and 1-1 as the underdog.
This season, the Tar Heels have a 5% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast Conference. The futures market gives them a +3017 money line to win the conference, which implies a 3% chance and ranks them 8th out of 17 teams in the conference.
North Carolina Tar Heels Stats
North Carolina’s offense was 21st in the country in scoring last season, putting up 34.5 points per game. The Tar Heels were also 9th in third-down conversion percentage (48.7%) and 11th in rushing yards per attempt. Their passing game was a big part of their success, with an average of 298.5 passing yards per game, and they also ranked 23rd in rushing yards per game, with Omarion Hampton returning after rushing for 1504 yards and 15 touchdowns last season.
Heading into the season, Omarion Hampton has the 5th best odds to win the Doak Walker Trophy. North Carolina also added quarterback Max Johnson, who threw for 1452 yards last season at Texas A&M. Conner Harrell, who threw for 270 yards last season, is also back for the Tar Heels.
North Carolina’s defense allowed 27.3 points per game last season, ranking them 63rd in the nation. They struggled to stop the pass, giving up 241.2 passing yards per game, which was 128th in college football. On the ground, the Tar Heels allowed 164.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 116th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks completed 62.5% of their passes against North Carolina last year.
Expert NCAA Football Betting Picks
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Minnesota Golden Gophers
Minnesota is 61st in our pre-season power rankings after finishing last season with a 6-7 record. The Gophers were 5-3 at home and 1-4 on the road. They were favored in eight of their 13 games, going 3-5 as the favorite and 3-2 as the underdog.
Heading into this season, Minnesota has a 43.8% chance of being bowl-eligible, but their odds of winning the Big Ten are just 0.1%. In the futures market, they are long shots at +20804 to win the Big Ten, ranking 14th out of 18 teams in the conference.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Stats
Minnesota’s passing game last season was one of the weakest in the country, averaging just 143.4 yards per game, which ranked 118th. Their overall offensive performance was lackluster, as they averaged 20.9 points per game (83rd). The Gophers struggled on third down, converting only 35.2% of their chances (99th). On a positive note, their rushing game was 61st in the nation, averaging 159.2 yards per game.
This season, the Gophers have added quarterback Max Brosmer, who threw for 493 yards and four touchdowns last year at New Hampshire. Darius Taylor, who rushed for 799 yards and five touchdowns last season, returns to lead the backfield. Minnesota also added Sieh Bangura from Ohio, who ran for 811 yards last season. The top returning receiver is Daniel Jackson, who had 831 receiving yards and eight touchdowns last year.
Last season, the Minnesota Golden Gophers’ defense allowed 26.7 points per game, ranking them 61st in the nation. They struggled to stop the run, giving up 149.5 rushing yards per game (80th), and were also not great against the pass, allowing 219.3 passing yards per game (85th). Opposing quarterbacks completed 61.3% of their passes against Minnesota last year.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The North Carolina Tar Heels are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Minnesota Golden Gophers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the North Carolina Tar Heels are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Minnesota Golden Gophers have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the North Carolina Tar Heels’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Minnesota Golden Gophers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: North Carolina +1.5
North Carolina is the +1.5 point underdog on the road in their week one matchup against Minnesota, but we have them winning straight-up 30-27. With the spread in their favor, we like the Tar Heels to cover as the road underdogs.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 50.5 points, our model is projecting a combined 57 points, so we recommend taking the over.
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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
We play football on Thursday. 🚣 🏈〽️
TICKETS: https://t.co/kpSt6RKDt8
GOLD OUT: https://t.co/OSfAqmqZYy#RTB #SkiUMah #Gophers pic.twitter.com/2ZzWLb2EVD
— Minnesota Football (@GopherFootball) August 26, 2024
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