Free NCAA Football Prediction: New Mexico vs. UNLV Odds
Looking for New Mexico Lobos vs. UNLV Rebels free picks? College football betting sees the Lobos taking on the Rebels on Friday, September 30, 2022, at UNLV Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Lobos Rebels free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs. UNLV Rebels
New Mexico Lobos (2-2) vs. UNLV Rebels (3-1)
Date: Friday, September 30, 2022
Time: 11:00 pm EST
Venue: Allegiant Stadium
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Lobos +16 / Rebels -16 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: New Mexico +550 / UNLV -800
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 45
Week 4 college football sees the Lobos and Rebels meeting at the UNLV Allegiant Stadium on Friday night.
The Rebels are favorites by 16 points in this MWC matchup, and we have a total of 45.
New Mexico Lobos
The Lobos offense is ranked 128th on PFF and lead by QB Miles Kendrick. He is a veteran QB that has struggled this year to get anything going on offense. But plays ok from a clean pocket with 84 QB rating while his under pressure rating is a complete opposite at 40%. He was at Kansas the previous 3 seasons.
He has a 3-3 TD to interception ratio on the year with 430 yards.
New Mexico also have 3 running backs Nathaniel Jones, Sherod White and Christian Washington all with 16+ carries this year. Jones leads the team with 127 yards but only 3.5 YPC average. Christian Washington averages 5.7 but he also has two fumbles on 16 carries.
The Lobos have 2 WR that have over 16 targets through there first 4 games they are Luke Wysong and Geordon Porter. Luke Wysong leads the team in receptions with 13 but Geordon Porter has 146 yards on 10 catches and 2 TDs.
The defense is ranked 114th on PFF. They are led by Jerrick Reed II he has 17 tackles leading the team. Cody Moon is there leader up front with 3 hurries and 1 hits including 4 sacks this season. A.J. Haulcy has the highest grade on PFF.
They are 2-1-1 against the spread this year including a cover over UTEP as an underdog.
UNLV Rebels
The Rebels offense is ranked 88th on PFF and led by quarterback Doug Brumfield. He is a dual threat with over 150 yards rushing through 4 games this season. He is not afraid to escape the pocket and run with 17 scrambles on 1453 drop backs this year.
He has a 126 rating in a clean pocket and a 65 rating under pressure. Doug Brumfield has an 8-1 TD to interception ratio on the year with 989 yards passing.
The Rebels will use Aidan Robbins in this matchup. Aidan Robbins averages 5.4 YPC and has 10 runs of 10+ yards this season. He has 7 TDs this season. Courtney Reese will get a few carries as well with 21-135.
UNLV has multiple WRs that they will throw to with 4 over 100 yards. They have 3 with over 20 targets Ricky White, Kyle Williams and Jeff Weimer. Ricky White is the leader of the room with 19-317 and 3 TDs. Kyle Williams is the leader in the room with 4 TD catches.
UNLV is ranked 43rd on PFF on the defensive side of the ball. They are led by linebacker Austin Ajiake who leads the team in tackles. and sacks. Eliel Ehimare will be the leader up front, he has 6 hurries, 3 QB hits and 2 sacks on the year.
They are 4-0 against the spread this year with a cover at California.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- New Mexico are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games.
- New Mexico are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against Nevada-Las Vegas.
- Nevada-Las Vegas are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
- Nevada-Las Vegas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
4* Free Lobos vs. Rebels NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
UNLV should start out very hot in this one and jump on top of New Mexico. Doug Brumfield will be the best player on field and New Mexico will struggle to slow him down. UNLV is trying to continue to build a winning culture so they will not take the foot off the gas on Friday night.
4* Free New Mexico Lobos vs. UNLV Rebels NCAA Betting Pick: UNLV -16
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