Free NCAA Pick: New Mexico vs. San Diego State Odds
Looking for New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Lobos taking on the Aztecs on Friday, November 8th at the Snapdragon Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this New Mexico San Diego State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(3-6) New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs (3-5)
Date: Friday, November 8th
Time: 10:30 ET
Venue: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New Mexico +3 | San Diego State -3
Week 11 CFB Moneyline Odds: New Mexico +130 | San Diego State -155
College Football Betting Total: O/U 67.5
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Get ready for Week 11, college football fans! This New Mexico vs. San Diego State matchup has all the makings of a classic clash between two long-time conference rivals.
The Aztecs have historically dominated, holding a 29-15 all-time lead over the Lobos, and they’re riding a nine-game win streak, with New Mexico’s last victory way back in 2008.
San Diego State is favored by -3 points as they host the New Mexico Lobos in a week 11 matchup on Friday, November 8th, with kick-off set for 10:30 ET. The game will be played at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego and broadcast on FS1.
Both teams come in with a 3-5 record for the season. The over/under line is currently set at 67.5 points.
Recent blowouts—31-7 in 2021 and 34-10 in 2022—have set the tone. But here’s where it gets interesting: New Mexico’s been strong on the road, going 6-4 ATS in their last 10 away games. With the spread at just -3 for San Diego State, expect a tight, hard-fought game.
New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico enters Week 11 with a 3-6 record, facing San Diego State. They rank 116th in our CFB power rankings and have just a 1.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Lobos are 1-2 at home and 2-3 on the road this season.
They’ve been favored in four of their nine games, going 3-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -6 points per game, and they are 4-4 against the spread, with a 3-2 record ATS on the road.
The over/under line for this week is 67.5 points. New Mexico’s games have averaged 75.6 points, and their over/under record is 6-2, with an average line of 61.2 points.
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New Mexico Lobos Stats
New Mexico’s offense is averaging 34.8 points per game, placing them 23rd in the nation. They are also ranked 37th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their rushing attack is their strength, averaging 232 yards per game, which ranks 5th nationally. Eli Sanders leads the team with 661 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry.
Quarterback Devon Dampier has thrown for 2,243 yards, but he has 12 interceptions to just 10 touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 75. The Lobos are 23rd in passing attempts, averaging 34.4 per game. Luke Wysong has 663 receiving yards on 50 catches but has only one touchdown this season.
New Mexico’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 40.8 points per game. In their recent game against Wyoming, they gave up 49 points, surrendering 606 total yards, including 342 passing yards and three passing touchdowns.
Opponents are averaging 238 rushing yards per game against New Mexico, and quarterbacks have posted a 113 passer rating, completing 62.9% of their throws.
San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State enters Week 11 with a 3-5 record, facing New Mexico at home. They are ranked 109th in our power rankings, with a 31.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, the Aztecs are 1-2 at home this season.
They’ve been favored in just one game this season, going 1-0 as the favorite and 1-5 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is -5.1 points per game, and they are 4-3 against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is 67.5 points, the highest they’ve seen this season. San Diego State’s over/under record is 3-4, with their games averaging 50.1 points and an average line of 50.3 points.
San Diego State Aztecs Stats
San Diego State’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 123rd in our offensive power rankings and averaging 22.5 points per game, placing them 80th nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is just 31.3%, and their rushing attack is producing 123.8 yards per game.
Quarterback Danny O’Neil has thrown for 1,395 yards with a passer rating of 85. The Aztecs are 91st in passing yards per game. O’Neil has eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Leading rusher Marquez Cooper has 842 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry.
San Diego State’s defense struggled in their recent game against Boise State, allowing 56 points and 541 total yards. The Aztecs gave up 322 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air, while Boise State also rushed for 219 yards on 46 attempts.
For the season, San Diego State is allowing 27.6 points per game. Opponents are averaging 170.9 rushing yards per game and 229.8 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 63.5% of their passes against the Aztecs, posting a passer rating of 93.8.
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The New Mexico Lobos are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the San Diego State Aztecs are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the New Mexico Lobos are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the San Diego State Aztecs have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the New Mexico Lobos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The San Diego State Aztecs’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 11 NCAA Betting Prediction: New Mexico +3
San Diego State is the -3 point spread favorite in their week 11 matchup against New Mexico. We have a slight lean towards New Mexico to pull off the upset on the road, but even if they fall short, we expect them to cover the spread in a 37-36 Aztecs win.
With the over/under line set at 67.5 points, our projection of 73 combined points makes the over the best bet for this game.
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New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Check out the gameday timeline and we’ll see you tomorrow!
🎟️: https://t.co/j6kxv7NeB7 pic.twitter.com/3zUDKjhh8i
— San Diego State Football (@AztecFB) November 7, 2024
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