Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Troy Trojans 8/31/2024 Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction

Free NCAA Pick: Nevada vs. Troy Odds

Looking for Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Troy Trojans free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wolf Pack taking on the Trojans on Saturday, August 31st at the Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Nevada Troy matchup.

2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1

(0-1) Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Troy Trojans (0-0)
Date: Saturday, August 31st
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL
Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Nevada +8.5 | Troy -8.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Nevada +255 | Troy -324
College Football Betting Total: O/U 44.5

• Live Betting Odds for the upcoming Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Troy Trojans game!
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Nevada Wolf Pack

Nevada is looking to bounce back after a 29-24 loss to SMU in their season opener. Despite being +28 point underdogs, the Wolf Pack covered the spread. The game’s over/under was set at 55.5 points, but the teams combined for only 53 points, resulting in the under hitting.

Nevada started strong, taking a 7-0 lead in the first quarter. After SMU tied the game at halftime, the Wolf Pack outscored the Mustangs 7-3 in the third quarter. However, Nevada was shut out in the fourth quarter, while SMU put up 16 points to secure the win.

Nevada Wolf Pack Stats

After their 29-24 loss to SMU, Nevada is looking to improve their offensive performance. The Wolf Pack finished with 298 total yards, with 148 yards coming on the ground and 150 through the air. Brendon Lewis led the way, completing 14 of 26 passes for 132 yards and two touchdowns. His passer rating for the game was 93.75, and he avoided throwing any interceptions.

Nevada’s offense moved the chains 16 times, but they will be looking to improve their passing game in the next matchup. Brendon Lewis was also the team’s leading rusher, gaining 77 yards on 18 carries, while Cortez Braham Jr. led the receiving corps with four catches for 66 yards.

Nevada’s defense will be looking to tighten up after allowing 442 total yards in their most recent game. SMU’s offense was able to move the ball effectively, with 308 yards coming through the air. The Wolf Pack’s secondary gave up 21 completions on 35 pass attempts, and they also allowed a touchdown. On the ground, Nevada gave up 134 yards and two rushing touchdowns.

Troy Trojans

Troy enters this season with the 76th best power ranking in college football, and they have a 79% chance of being bowl-eligible. Last season, Troy finished with an 11-3 overall record, going 9-3 as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog. They were 5-2 on the road and 6-1 at home. The Trojans also have an 11.6% chance of winning the Sun Belt title.

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Heading into the season, the odds have Troy at +1600 to win the Sun Belt, giving them a 6% chance, which is the lowest among the seven teams in the conference. However, they have the 43rd best odds of making a bowl game this season.

Troy Trojans Stats

Goose Crowder, Troy’s top returning quarterback, finished last season with 94 passing yards and one touchdown. The Trojans have also added Matthew Caldwell from Gardner-Webb to their quarterback room. Last season, Troy’s offense was 28th in the country in scoring, averaging 29.6 points per game. They were also 18th in passing yards per game (265.2) and 16th in passing yards per attempt (8.2). However, their rushing attack averaged 154.4 yards per game, which ranked 56th nationally.

Overall, Troy’s offense threw just six interceptions last season. In the backfield, Damien Taylor returns after rushing for 346 yards last year, and the Trojans have added Gerald Green from East Carolina. Chris Lewis, who had 735 receiving yards last season, is Troy’s top returning receiver.

Troy’s defense was strong last season, allowing just 17.1 points per game, which ranked 12th in the nation. They were particularly effective against the run, giving up only 107.1 rushing yards per game, the 21st best mark in college football. In the passing game, they allowed 201.5 yards per game, placing them in the middle of the pack at 50th nationally. Opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of 79.2 against Troy, which was the 38th lowest figure in the country.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Troy Trojans NCAA Football Betting Trends

• The Nevada Wolf Pack are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
• Conversely, the Troy Trojans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
• Also, the Nevada Wolf Pack are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the Troy Trojans have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
• Over the Nevada Wolf Pack’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
• The Troy Trojans’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.

4* Free 2024 Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Troy -8.5

Our projections have Troy winning their week one matchup against Nevada by a score of 32-20. Troy is favored by -8.5 points, and we expect them to cover the spread as the stronger team.

With the over/under line set at 44.5 points, we see good value in taking the over, as our model is predicting a combined 52 points.

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About Clinton Bell

Clinton returns for his second tour of duty at Cappers Picks Blog, he has been a sports handicapper for a few years now though. From the Pacific Northwest he brings you his knowledge of all things sports. Stay tuned he'll be picking NFL, CFB, CBB and NBA games daily here on the blog.

Filed Under: College Football