Free NCAA Pick: Nevada vs. Fresno State Odds
Looking for Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wolf Pack taking on the Bulldogs on Saturday, September 30th at the Valley Children’s Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Nevada Fresno State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(0-4) Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (4-0)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Time: 10:30 ET
Venue: Valley Children’s Stadium
NCAA Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Nevada +24.5 | Fresno State -24.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Nevada +1493 | Fresno State -6975
College Football Betting Total: O/U 54
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The most recent time Fresno State and Nevada met up, Fresno State walked away with a 41-14 win. Fresno State’s rushing attack finished with 163 rushing yards and averaged 4.9 yards per attempt.
Defensively, they gave up 389 yards of offense to Nevada.
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Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada is coming off a tough 35-24 loss to Texas State. The Wolf Pack couldn’t hold on after a strong first-half, going into halftime with a 17-10 lead. Nevada was outscored by 18 in the second half.
Having been favored in each of their first four games, Nevada has yet to cover the spread.
Their ATS record is 0-3 on an average scoring margin of -24.2 points per contest.
So far in this season, Nevada has posted an over/under record of 1-2. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 58.2 points, with the typical over/under line set at 60 points.
Nevada Wolf Pack Stats
The Wolf Pack’s offense is set to face Fresno State while averaging 117.8 rushing yards per game and 3 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 97th for rushing yards and 97th for passing yards, with an average of 191.5 yards per matchup.
Overall, Nevada is putting up 17 points per game, which is 81st nationally.
Coming into this week’s game, the Nevada defense is 105th in points allowed at 41.2 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 340.5 passing yards per game vs. the unit (179th).
On the ground, they are giving up 196 rushing yards, putting them 135th in college football.
On offense, Nevada did not throw for a touchdown vs. Texas State but did run for two scores.
In terms of overall yards, they finished with 353 and averaged 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 194 total passing yards.
Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State most recently took down Kent State by a score of 53-10. The Bulldogs went into the 4th quarter of this game leading by 25.
Through four games, the Bulldogs have been favored one time and the underdog in two games. So far, they are still a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread.
Fresno State has put together an over/under record of 2-1 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 57.8 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 47.3 points.
Fresno State Bulldogs Stats
Fresno State’s rushing attack is ranked 45th in college football with 138 rushing attempts per game.
This has translated into an average of 114.8 rushing yards per game, placing them 100th nationally. On average, they are attempting 41.8 passes per game leading to 313.8 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 20th position, averaging 38.8 points per game.
In the passing game, the Bulldogs threw the ball 34 times for 370 and five scores against Kent State. On the ground, they averaged 4.3 yards per carry and finished with two rushing touchdowns
Defensively, the Bulldogs defense has come up with six sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 19 points per contest (48th).
Against the pass, they are 52nd in the NCAA, having allowed 194.2 passing yards allowed per game. Fresno State is giving up 103.2 rushing yards per contest.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Wolf Pack are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Wolf Pack are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bulldogs have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Wolf Pack’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.
- The Bulldogs’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Nevada vs. Fresno State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolf Pack | +1400 | +1493 | +23.5 | +24.5 |
| Bulldogs | -5000 | -6975 | -23.5 | -24.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Nevada +24.5
Obviously I have Fresno State winning straight up, but I have a question. Will Brandon Lewis be taking the field on Sundays in the future?
He’s a formidable dual threat, capable of spearheading Nevada’s offense in both passing and rushing. His passing prowess is evident with 550 yards through the air, boasting a completion rate of 61.7%, and just 2 interceptions to his name.
In addition, he’s made his presence felt on the ground, amassing 171 rushing yards at an average of 42.8 yards per game, and finding the end zone twice.
So far, turnovers have been a problem in the passing game for Fresno State. Coming in as the away underdogs, I like Nevada to cover the spread at +24.5. Fresno State are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada.
My model has this one at 59 points total, so play the OVER 54.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Bulldogs’ last 6 games against Nevada, plus a little know trend tells us the OVER has hit in the Bulldogs L5 against an opponent in the MWC’s West Division.
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Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
I like a good fiesta!
https://twitter.com/FresnoStateFB/status/1706436272431239454
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