Free NCAA Pick: Nevada vs. Boise State Odds
Looking for Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wolf Pack taking on the Broncos on Saturday, November 9th at the Albertsons Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Nevada Boise State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(3-7) Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos (7-1)
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Nevada +24 | Boise State -24
Week 11 CFB Moneyline Odds: Nevada +1173 | Boise State -2794
College Football Betting Total: O/U 60.5
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Get ready for a Week 11 showdown! The Nevada Wolf Pack heads into Albertsons Stadium with a chip on their shoulder, facing the powerhouse Boise State Broncos.
While Boise is 7-1, Nevada has a solid track record against the spread in this rivalry, covering in 7 of the last 10 matchups, including a shocking win as a 3.5-point underdog in their last Boise visit.
Boise dominated their last meeting 41-3, but with a massive 24-point spread this week, bettors might eye Nevada for a potential cover.
Boise State enters this week 11 matchup with a 7-1 record, and they are the heavy favorite over the Nevada Wolf Pack, who are just 3-7 on the season.
Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, with FOX handling the TV broadcast.
The over/under line is at 60.5 points at the moment. The Broncos are -24 point favorites over the Wolf Pack.
If you’re looking to add a little thrill to your Saturday, keep an eye on these live odds—anything can happen in college football!
Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada heads into Week 11 with a 3-7 record, facing Boise State. The Wolf Pack are ranked 100th in our power rankings, and their chances of reaching bowl eligibility are slim at 0.6%.
This season, Nevada has not been favored in any game, and their average scoring margin is -4 points per game. They are 4-4-1 against the spread, with a 2-2 record on the road and a 2-2-1 mark at home.
The over/under line for this week is 60.5 points, the highest for Nevada this season. Their over/under record is 5-4, with an average line of 48.4 points and an average total of 53.2 points per game.
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Nevada Wolf Pack Stats
Nevada’s offense ranks 67th in our power rankings heading into week 11, and they are 73rd in points per game, scoring 24.6. Their run game is their strength, ranking 6th in rushing attempts and 14th in rushing yards, with 189.1 yards per game. Savion Red leads the team with 676 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored eight touchdowns.
Quarterback Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,542 yards, and Nevada ranks 48th in passing attempts. Lewis has 11 touchdowns and five interceptions, with a passer rating of 95. The Wolf Pack are 8th in third-down conversions, converting 50% of their attempts. Jaden Smith leads the receivers with 630 yards and four touchdowns.
Nevada’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 28.6 points per game. In their recent 38-21 loss to Colorado State, they gave up 38 points, including 170 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns, while allowing 157 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 160.4 rushing yards per game against Nevada, ranking them 104th nationally. The Wolf Pack’s secondary has allowed 229.5 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 61.7% of their passes.
Boise State Broncos
Boise State enters Week 11 with a 7-1 record, ranked 19th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 77.5% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Broncos also have the 8th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 69.7%.
They are 3-0 at home and 3-1 on the road, with a +20.1 average scoring margin this season. Boise State has been favored in six of their eight games, going 6-0 as the favorite. Their ATS record stands at 5-1-1, including a perfect 3-0 mark at home.
Boise State’s over/under record is 5-2, with their games averaging 71.4 points per contest. They’ve exceeded the over/under by an average of 10.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 60.5 points.
Boise State Broncos Stats
Boise State’s offense has been dominant this season, ranking third in points per game with 45.8 and fourth in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their rushing attack is the driving force, averaging 270.2 yards per game, placing them fourth nationally.
Ashton Jeanty has been outstanding, rushing for 1,525 yards and scoring 20 touchdowns while averaging 8 yards per carry. Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,789 yards, 17 touchdowns, and just two interceptions, boasting a passer rating of 110.
Boise State’s defense allowed 24 points in their recent game, a 56-24 win over San Diego State, while forcing two interceptions. They gave up 256 total yards, including 101 rushing yards on 26 attempts and 155 passing yards.
On the season, Boise State’s defense ranks 36th nationally, allowing 115.6 rushing yards per game. However, they’ve struggled against the pass, giving up 249 yards per game, which ranks 132nd in the country.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Nevada Wolf Pack are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Boise State Broncos are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Nevada Wolf Pack are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Boise State Broncos have gone 4-4-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Nevada Wolf Pack’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Boise State Broncos’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 11 NCAA Betting Prediction: Nevada +24
Our projections have Boise State winning this matchup 38-17 over Nevada. However, with Nevada coming in as +24 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 60.5 points, our projections suggest taking the under, as we see the combined score falling short of the line, with a total of 55 points.
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Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
#BleedBlue | #BuiltDifferent pic.twitter.com/4zSJ3LvtcX
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) November 9, 2024
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