Free NCAA Pick: NC State vs. Virginia Odds
Looking for NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wolfpack taking on the Cavaliers on Friday, September 22nd at the Scott Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this NC State Virginia matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers (0-3)
Date: Friday, September 22nd
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Scott Stadium
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) NC State -10 | Virginia +10
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: NC State -410 | Virginia +305
College Football Betting Total: O/U 46
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In ACC action, it’s the NC State Wolfpack (2-1) taking on the struggling Virginia Cavaliers (0-3) at Scott Stadium this Friday.
The Wolfpack are strong favorites, boasting a 9.5-point spread. The initial moneyline odds favor NC State at -375, with Virginia at +280. The over/under is pegged at 46.5 points for the game.
Don’t miss our CFB handicapping blog for expert analysis on this thrilling showdown!
There wasn’t a head-to-head matchup between Virginia and NC State last season. But looking back across their previous threee head-to-head games, Virginia is 2-1. The team’s split these games vs. the spread, each going 1-2.
In terms of scoring, NC State and Virginia averaged 51 points and finished with an over/under record of 3-0.
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NC State Wolfpack
NC State most recently took down VMI by a score of 45-7. The Wolfpack went into the 4th quarter of this game leading by 10.
NC State’s average scoring differential for the season is +9 leading to an ATS mark of 1-1. The Wolfpack have been favored one time and the underdog in one game
After three games, the average over/under line in NC State’s matches stands at 48.5 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 53 points, resulting in an OU record of 1-1.
NC State Wolfpack Stats
NC State enters the game on offense with an average of 31, ranking them 43rd in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 74th in the nation, with an average of 226.3 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 52nd in rushing yards, with an average of 121 rushing attempts per game this season.
Coming into their matchup vs. Virginia, the NC State defense is 42nd in points allowed, giving up 22 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 191.7 passing yards per game against them (53rd in the country).
Against the run, they’re allowing 115 rushing yards, which ranks them 52nd in college football.
The Wolfpack’s passing game featured 32 pass attempts for 264 yards and one score vs. VMI. In the rushing department, they averaged 5.2 yards per carry and notched three rushing touchdowns.
Virginia Cavaliers
Despite jumping out to a seven-point lead in the first quarter, Virginia lost their most recent game vs. Maryland by a score of 42-14.
The Cavaliers have still not covered the spread this season at 0-3. So far, they have been the favorite in each of their first three games.
In three games played, the average over/under line for Virginia’s games has been set at 48 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 63 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-0.
Virginia Cavaliers Stats
On offense, Virginia comes into the game averaging 20.7, which is 68th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 248.7 passing yards (54th) compared to 125th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 105 rushing attempts per contest.
Through the air, the Cavaliers’ attempted 39 passes against Maryland, gaining 263 yards and securing one score. On the ground, they maintained an average of 3.0 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
The Virginia defense holds the 78th position in points allowed, allowing 42.3 points per game. Teams have an average of 260.7 passing yards per game against them (131st nationally).
In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 191 rushing yards, placing them 127th in college football.
NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Wolfpack are 0-5 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Cavaliers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cavaliers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Wolfpack’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Cavaliers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
NC State vs. Virginia Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Wolfpack | -435 | -403 | -10 | -9.5 |
Cavaliers | +320 | +303 | +10 | +9.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: Virginia +10
With the Cavs still looking for their first W of the season I can’t honestly predict it happening here on Friday night, but I think under the lights they’ll show up just enough to be a thorn in the side of the Wolfpack, and stick around long enough to get the cover.
The NC State passing game has faced issues with turnovers. With the underdogs at home, my pick is Virginia to cover the spread at +10. They’ve had a pretty tough schedule thus far.
It’s worth noting, I don’t LOVE this pick, so play it small, if you’re playing it at all. Or, maybe buy a point, or a point and a half to make it work a bit better for you.
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NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
"They came and battled today. They fought their tails off." – @Coach_TElliott #GoHoos | Presented by @VFBInsurance pic.twitter.com/ZiT3iExqyn
— Virginia Cavaliers (@VirginiaSports) September 17, 2023
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