Free Week 5 Prediction: Wolfpack vs. Panthers Odds
Looking for NC State Wolfpack vs. Pitt Panthers free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Wolfpack taking on the Panthers on Saturday, October 3rd at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this NC State Pitt Week 5 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
(1-1) NC State Wolfpack vs. Pitt Panthers (3-0)
Date: Saturday, October 3rd 2020
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
NCAA Football Spread: Pitt -14.5
NCAA Betting Total: 46.5
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I feel pretty confident that Pitt is the better team here but giving that many points with the Panthers is tough.
NC State fell flat at Virginia Tech and this is a second straight road game.
That total is really low too which makes me nervous in backing a heavy favorite.
NC State Wolfpack
The result was no surprise but NC State came back to earth offensively against Virginia Tech last week. Scoring just 24 points in the 21 point loss.
They got down big early – 17-0 at the end of the first quarter and that was pretty much the ball game. It is hard to fully evaluate the offense as a result.
Other than the performance of Bailey Hockman that is, he threw two interceptions against a good and experienced Hokie defense.
On defense, the Wolfpack were not much better. They had the advantage of taking on a Virginia Tech team without its starting quarterback Hendon Hooker.
I am not high on Pitt so I am giving the Wolfpack a chance to keep this one close. I think.
Pitt Panthers
Pitt has one of the best defenses in the country and that has backstopped them to a 3-0 record. They held Louisville to just 20 points in a close win last week.
NC State is not as good as that Louisville team but they are better than the Syracuse team Pitt held to 10 points the week before.
The Pitt offense has not scored for than 23 points in games against FBS opponents this season, which makes me nervous about giving up so many points.
The only way they cover this number comfortably is if the defense really sets up the offense for some easy scores. It’s possible but I don’t like having to depend on turnovers or the return game so much.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- NCST are 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- NCST are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- NCST are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.
- PITT are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
- Under is 9-3 in PITT last 12 home games.
- Under is 9-3 in PITT last 12 games as a favorite.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Pick
Picturing scenarios here. If the Wolfpack get to 10 points are the Panthers going to be able to score enough to cover? What if they get to 13 or more?
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: NC State +14.5
Pitt has promise but their offense is just so vanilla and if they are playing with a lead they are unlikely to go for the jugular and execute.
NC State finds a way to stay in the game here. It won’t be pretty but a little success early means we don’t have to sweat this one too much.
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