Free Week 5 Prediction: Wolfpack vs Seminoles
Looking for NC State Wolfpack vs. Florida State Seminoles free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Wolfpack taking on the Seminoles Saturday, September 28, at Doak S. Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Wolfpack Seminoles Week 5 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
(3-1) NC State Wolfpack vs. Florida State Seminoles (2-2)
Date: Saturday, September 28, 2019
Time: 7:30 pm EST
Venue: Doak S. Campbell Stadium Tallahassee, Florida
NCAA Football Spread: FSU -6
NCAA Betting Total: 60
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Florida State seeks its first 2019 win-streak today while hosting ACC rival NC State.
The Wolfpack feature a considerably different looking squad this September than the Ryan Finely-led Pack which eked by FSU last season 27-21. Finley is now playing Sundays with the Cincinnati Bengals.
And while injury forced Seminoles quarterback James Blackman from Florida State’s recent 35-24 win vs. Louisville, backup QB Alex Hornibrook didn’t miss a beat.
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FSU Head Coach Willie Taggart remains optimistic, however, that Blackman will play this weekend.
NC State Wolfpack
Minus several impact players from a year ago, NC State begins life anew with redshirt Sophomore Matt McKay behind center. McKay has gained 890 passing yards on 58% completion while adding three touchdowns against one interception this season.
Sporting a balanced offensive attack, NC State averages 238 passing and 212 rushing yards. Impact Freshman Zonovan Knight (269 yards, 3 touchdowns) paces the Wolfpack’s ground game: Knight tweaked his hamstring last weekend vs. Ball State, but is expected to start on Saturday. Overall, NC State’s 34 points per game average ranks 44th nationally.
Defensively, opposite overmatched early opponents, the Wolfpack have allowed 18.2 points. That number ranks 32nd FBS.
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NC State’s current 3-1 record is built upon wins against mid-majors East Carolina, Western Carolina and Ball State.
When the pack stepped up against West Virginia, the Mountaineers sprinted to victory, 44-27.
Until otherwise proven, FSU, especially at home, remains the favorite for this Saturday’s ACC tilt.
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State used Alex Hornibrook’s 15-of-20 completion, two touchdown, zero interception efficiency last weekend to put Louisville away, 35-24. Further, Junior Running Back Cam Akers added three touchdowns and 112 yards rushing.
One week after losing against #25 Virginia by a score, FSU showed resolve and, importantly, cohesion in defeating a Cardinals team which stands on par with the NC State Wolfpack. Opposite Louisville, the Seminoles added 522 total yards and showed they retain competitive depth at the Quarterback position.
And if Blackman’s leg injuries resurface vs. NC State, Hornibrook’s experience and talent will become a major asset. Primarily a passing team, featuring Akers, FSU shouldn’t struggle offensively Saturday.
The question becomes, can the Seminoles’ defense hold against a novice QB missing many key cogs from the 2018 Wolfpack lineup.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 8-2 in NCST last 10 games as an underdog.
- Under is 16-5 in NCST last 21 conference games.
- Under is 13-6 in NCST last 19 games on grass.
- FSU are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Under is 25-12-1 in FSU last 38 conference games.
- NCST are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 meetings.
- Underdog is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 meetings.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Pick
FSU’s shaky secondary will again allow deep plays as McKay shoots for the moon in Tallahassee. Although, as is the case for any FSU opponent, NC State will have a decent quarterback, fast receivers, and steady doses of Cam Akers coming back their way.
That stated, FSU’s coaching staff allows its considerable talent pool to underperform most weeks. Although, this week the Noles’ will be a bit better in a quick-draw encounter vs. NC State.
4* Free NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida State Covers & Total Goes Over
Florida State’s poor defense, combined with its explosive offense, will almost ensure a total just north of the predicted 60-point Number. Also, with calls for his job coming from Seminole Nation, Taggart will rally his troops today as FSU covers.
Week 5 Free Score Predictions: NC State Wolfpack 27 – Florida State Seminoles 37
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