Free Week 1 Prediction: Midshipmen vs. Rainbow Warriors Odds
Looking for Navy Midshipmen vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors free picks? Week 1 betting sees the Rainbow Warriors taking on the Midshipmen on Saturday September 1, 2018 at Hawaiian Airlines Field at Aloha Stadium in Hawaii. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Hawaii Navy State free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 1
(0-0) Navy Midshipmen vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (1-0)
Date: Saturday, September 1
Time: 11:00 pm EST
Venue: Aloha Stadium, Hawaii
NCAA Football Spread: Hawaii +12
NCAA Football Moneyline: OFF
NCAA Betting Total: 63
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This is one of the rare Week 1 contests where one opponent actually has a win or loss already on their record. The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors successfully took down Colorado State last weekend in what can only be known as Week 0—or the real opening weekend of the college football season—in a 43-44 contest.
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Now Hawaii looks to get its second straight victory, but does so coming into the game as heavy underdogs against the Navy Midshipmen.
Navy Midshipmen
Last season, Navy finished the year as the No. 37 team in the country in terms of total yards gained on the year. The team tallied 5,573 yards during the 2017 campaign, which led to a total of 30.5 points per game—a number good enough for 48th in the nation (tied with Louisiana Tech).
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Where the numbers get interesting is when you break it down to on the ground versus through the air. Navy was No. 2 among all FBS teams on the ground, collecting 351.4 yards per contest (second only to Army).
Through the air, the Midshipmen were 129th in the country, which was only good enough for one single spot in the rankings above the dead last Army Black Knights.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Hawaii kicked off its season by taking a 23-7 lead into halftime last week against Colorado State. The offense kept going in the second half as expected, but also (probably as expected) the defense let up and let the Rams back into the game.
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Against Navy, the obvious plan of attack is to shut down the running game, but the bigger/less obvious blueprint is to keep a nice steady offensive approach like last week.
As much as Hawaii fans would like to believe that the defense can lock in and do some serious work against Navy’s run game, that’s simply not going to be the case.
The Midshipmen will run all over the Rainbow Warriors in this one, so the question is: Can Hawaii’s offense score early, often, and yes, late.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- NAVY are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. MWC.
- Over is 9-1 in HAW last 10 non-conference games.
- Under is 6-2 in HAW last 8 games overall.
- Under is 6-2 in HAW last 8 games on fieldturf.
- Midshipmen are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Midshipmen are 18-6-3 ATS in their last 27 games on fieldturf.
- Midshipmen are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. MWC.
- Rainbow Warriors are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Rainbow Warriors are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Rainbow Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Free Week 1 NCAA Football Pick
The question here isn’t whether or not the Rainbow Warriors will be able to contain the running attack of the Midshipmen. Simply put: They won’t.
The bigger question is whether or not Hawaii can use its passing attack to make Navy uncomfortable and put up points of their own into the 40s.
Chances are, that will be an unsuccessful task as well.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Navy ATS
Navy should cover in a blowout victory.
Week 1 Free Score Prediction: Navy 45 – Hawaii 28
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