Free NCAA Pick: Missouri vs. Vanderbilt Odds
Looking for Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Commodores on Saturday, September 30th at the FirstBank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Missouri Vanderbilt matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(4-0) Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: FirstBank Stadium
NCAA Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Missouri -13.5 | Vanderbilt +13.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Missouri -581 | Vanderbilt +412
College Football Betting Total: O/U 56.5
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In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Missouri picked up the 17-14 win (last year). Missouri’s defense made things tough for Vanderbilt up front as Vanderbilt only ran for 57 yards.
On offense, Missouri ended the game with 211 passing yards and 97 rushing yards.
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Missouri Tigers
In their previous game, Missouri faced off against Memphis, picking up a seven-point win on a score of 34-27.
Missouri has gone into one game as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 2-1.
Missouri has put together an over/under record of 2-1 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 51.2 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 49.7 points.
Missouri Tigers Stats
In the rushing game, the Tigers are currently 33rd in college football with 150 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 149.5 rushing yards per game, putting them 68th nationally.
Their passing game has averaged 26.5 passes and 281.8 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 43rd, averaging 30.5 points per game.
This season, the Tigers’ defense has allowed 82.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 177th. Opponents average 239 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 93.9 against Missouri.
They hold the 55th position in NCAA points allowed.
The Tigers’ ended with 25 pass attempts vs Memphis, racking up 341 yards and two scores. In the rushing department, they averaged 5.6 yards per carry, resulting in two rushing touchdowns.
Vanderbilt Commodores
Even though Vanderbilt led by seven at the half, they stil lost their most recent game by a score of 45-28 to Kentucky.
Vanderbilt has gone into two games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 1-3.
Vanderbilt has an over/under record of 4-0 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 65.8 points with the average over/under line being 54.5 points.
Vanderbilt Commodores Stats
Vanderbilt comes into the game with an offense averaging 33.4, which places them at 14th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 7th nationally, with an average of 277.2 passing yards.
In the rushing department, they’re 81st in the nation, with 149 rushing attempts per game for the season.
In the passing game, the Commodores threw the ball 47 times for 231 and one score against Kentucky. On the ground, they averaged 3.6 yards per carry and finished with two rushing touchdowns
This season, the Commodores’ defense has yielded an average of 150 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 96th. Opponents have an average of 234.2 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 82.4 when facing Vanderbilt.
They are currently 6th in points allowed in NCAA rankings.
Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Commodores are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Tigers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commodores have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Commodores’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Missouri vs. Vanderbilt Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -480 | -581 | -12 | -13.5 |
| Commodores | +350 | +412 | +12 | +13.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Vanderbilt +13.5
Turnovers in the passing game have been a concern for Missouri this season.
Fact: Missouri are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Vanderbilt.
In this home underdog scenario, I like Vanderbilt to cover the spread at +13.5.
My model has this one at 53 points total, so play the UNDER 56.5.
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Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Head Coach Clark Lea meets with the media ahead of Saturday's contest against Missouri. https://t.co/HPXMHHL0eW
— Vanderbilt Football (@VandyFootball) September 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/MizzouFootball/status/1707077649045287063
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