
Free NCAA Pick: Missouri vs. UMass Odds
Looking for Missouri Tigers vs. UMass Minutemen free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Minutemen on Saturday, October 12th at the Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Missouri UMass matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(4-1) Missouri Tigers vs. UMass Minutemen (1-5)
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, MA
Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Missouri -27.5 | UMass +27.5
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: Missouri -4896 | UMass +1655
College Football Betting Total: O/U 53.5
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ESPN2 will be covering this week seven non-conference matchup between the Missouri Tigers and UMass Minutemen, set to kick off at 12:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th, at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst. Missouri is coming in with a 4-1 record, while UMass has struggled to a 1-5 start. The Tigers are heavily favored at -27.5 points, with the over/under line currently set at 53.5 points.
Missouri Tigers
Missouri heads into Week 7 against UMass with a 4-1 record, ranked 22nd in our power rankings. They have a 97.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Tigers are 2-0 at home but 0-1 on the road this season.
Missouri’s ATS record stands at 1-2, and they’ve been favored in two of their five games. Their average scoring margin is +13.4 points per game.
The over/under line for this week is 53.5 points. Missouri’s games have averaged 49 points, with an average line of 50.8 points and an over/under record of 1-2.
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Missouri Tigers Stats
Missouri’s offense is averaging 31.2 points per game heading into week 7, placing them 40th in the nation. They rank 59th in our offensive power rankings. The Tigers have been strong on third downs, converting 50.6% of their attempts, which ranks 15th nationally. They are also 27th in passing attempts, averaging 36.4 per game, and 20th in completions, with 24.2 per game. Their completion percentage is 66.5%.
Quarterback Brady Cook has thrown for 1,132 yards with a 63.6% completion rate. He has five touchdowns and one interception, with a passer rating of 91. Nate Noel leads the rushing attack with 471 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry and scoring two touchdowns. Theo Wease Jr. has 28 receptions for 359 yards and one touchdown.
Missouri’s defense, ranked 19th nationally, has allowed an average of 17.8 points per game this season. They’ve given up 157 passing yards per game, which ranks 16th, and 121 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a 55.3% completion rate and a 74 passer rating against Missouri.
In their recent game against Texas A&M, Missouri’s defense allowed 41 points, giving up 512 total yards, including 236 rushing yards on 36 attempts. While they allowed 276 passing yards, they didn’t give up any passing touchdowns.
UMass Minutemen
UMass enters Week 7 with a 1-5 record, facing Missouri at home. They rank 128th in our power rankings, and their chance of becoming bowl-eligible is just 0.1%. At home, they are 0-1, and they’ve been favored in only one game this season.
The Minutemen’s average scoring margin is -12.2 points, and their ATS record stands at 1-2-1. They are 0-1 against the spread as favorites and 1-1-1 as underdogs.
This week’s over/under line is 53.5 points, higher than their season average line of 46.8 points. UMass’s over/under record is 2-2, with their games averaging 50.5 points.
UMass Minutemen Stats
Heading into week 7, UMass is ranked 94th in our offensive power rankings, with an average of 19.2 points per game, placing them 85th nationally. Taisun Phommachanh has thrown for 1,280 yards and has a passer rating of 85, the same as the team’s overall rating. UMass ranks 28th in passing attempts per game, averaging 30.2, and 34th in completions, with 17.3 per game. They convert 38.5% of their third-down attempts.
Phommachanh has thrown seven touchdowns and three interceptions this season. UMass is 54th in passing yards per game, averaging 213.3, with a 57.5% completion rate. Leading receiver Jakobie Keeney-James has 493 yards and three touchdowns on 24 catches. UMass also ranks 6th in rushing attempts, averaging 40.8 per game, and 73rd in rushing yards, with 133.5 per game. Jalen John leads the team with 210 rushing yards.
UMass’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 31.3 points per game. In their recent game against Northern Illinois, they gave up 34 points, including 368 rushing yards on 52 attempts. Despite forcing an interception, UMass allowed 403 total yards, though only 35 came through the air.
Opponents have averaged 165.2 rushing yards per game against UMass, while the Minutemen rank 24th nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up just 162.3 yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 54.5% of their passes against UMass, ranking them 21st in the country in this category.
Missouri Tigers vs. UMass Minutemen NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Missouri Tigers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the UMass Minutemen are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Missouri Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the UMass Minutemen have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Missouri Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The UMass Minutemen’s have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: UMass +27.5
Our projections have UMass covering the spread as +27.5 point underdogs at home vs. Missouri. The current line for the over/under is 53.5 points, and with our predicted score of 42-30 in favor of Missouri, there is value in taking UMass to cover.
For a straight-up pick, we like Missouri to win.
Additionally, we see the combined score going over the current line, with a predicted total of 72 points.
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