Free NCAA Pick: Missouri vs. Kentucky Odds
Looking for Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Wildcats on Saturday, October 14th at the Kroger Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Missouri Kentucky matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(5-1) Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats (5-1)
Date: Saturday, October 14th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
NCAA Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Missouri +2.5 | Kentucky -2.5
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: Missouri +109 | Kentucky -135
College Football Betting Total: O/U 53.5
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Get set for an exciting game this week as both Missouri Tigers (5-1, 3-3 ATS) and Kentucky Wildcats (5-1, 4-2 ATS) try not to lose two in a row in NCAA football week 7 action. The game happens on Saturday, October 14th, at Kroger Field in Lexington, KY. You can catch it on SEC Network at 7:30 ET.
Here’s what you need to know: Kentucky is favored by 2.5 points, and the total score over/under is 53.5. In their recent games, MIZZOU lost 49-39 to LSU, while UK got trounced by #1 Georgia, 51-13.
Kentucky will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 21-17 win over Missouri.
On offense, Kentucky racked up 252 yards of total offense, while the team’s defense did a good job against Missouri’s rushing attack, giving up just 89 yards on the ground.
UK has won the last two times these teams clashed and aims to continue its dominance, leading the all-time series 9-4.
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Missouri Tigers
This week, Missouri will be looking for another big game from their offense, but some better defensive play as they most recently loss to LSU 49-39.
Missouri has gone into three games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog.
Their ATS record is currently 3-2.
Across six games, the average over/under line in Missouri’s matchups is 53.2 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 58.7 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-1.
Missouri Tigers Stats
In the rushing game, the Tigers are currently 40th in college football with 205 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 144.5 rushing yards per game, putting them 67th nationally.
Their passing game has averaged 32.3 passes and 319.5 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 24th, averaging 33.2 points per game.
Defensively, the Tigers enter the game with 15 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 25.5 points per game thus far this season (89th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 122nd in the NCAA, giving up 245.7 passing yards per game. Against the run, Missouri has allowed 107.7 rushing yards per contest thus far.
In the passing game, the Tigers threw the ball 47 times for 395 and two scores against LSU.
On the ground, they averaged 6.3 yards per carry and finished with three rushing touchdowns
Kentucky Wildcats
The Wildcats could never recover from a rough first quarter in their most recent game vs. Georgia, as they trailed 14-0 after the first period. Kentucky ended up dropping the game 51-13.
Against the spread, Kentucky has gone 4-1 this season. The Wildcats have been favored four times compared to one game as the underdog.
Through six games, the average over/under line in Kentucky’s games is 47.5 points.
Their games have averaged a combined 54.2 points leading to an OU record of 4-1.
Kentucky Wildcats Stats
On offense, Kentucky comes into the game averaging 33, which is 25th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 209.5 passing yards (74th) compared to 56th in rushing yards.
For the season, they are averaging 156 rushing attempts per contest.
Facing Georgia, the Wildcats’ offense managed to accumulate 183 yards of total offense, of which 55 were gained on the ground, and 128 through the air. Their performance on third down was 2/11, and they scored two passing touchdowns.
Coming into their matchup vs. Missouri, the Kentucky defense is 74th in points allowed, giving up 21.2 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 257 passing yards per game against them (133rd in the country).
Against the run, they’re allowing 92 rushing yards, which ranks them 18th in college football.
Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Wildcats have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Wildcats’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Missouri vs. Kentucky Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | +114 | +109 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
| Wildcats | -135 | -135 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: Kentucky -2.5
A matchup I like in this one is Kentucky’s passing attack vs. the Missouri secondary. In their most recent game, Missouri struggled to slow down LSU.
UK are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games, 5-1 SU in their last 6 games. For MIZZOU things on the ATS side of things don’t look too good. Missouri are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Kentucky, and 1-4 ATS.
Look for Kentucky to cover as 2.5-point favorites.
My model sees this one coming in at 59 points on the low side.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Missouri’s last 6 games.
In terms of defense, Missouri is currently conceding an average of 25.5 points per game (PPG) and 353.2 yards per game (YPG), while Kentucky’s defense allows 21.2 PPG and 349 YPG.
With these defensive statistics, it’s highly likely that we’ll witness a high-scoring game in this matchup.
Back the OVER.
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Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
SEC action front & center!
#UKHomecoming Week. See you #Caturday, #BBNhttps://t.co/GWnYnIjfIS pic.twitter.com/zGqAbeJLBw
— Kentucky Football (@UKFootball) October 9, 2023
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