Free NCAA Pick: Mississippi State vs. Tennessee Odds
Looking for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Volunteers on Saturday, November 9th at the Neyland Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Mississippi State Tennessee matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(2-7) Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers (7-1)
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Mississippi State +23.5 | Tennessee -23.5
Week 11 CFB Moneyline Odds: Mississippi State +1119 | Tennessee -2574
College Football Betting Total: O/U 61
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Get ready for an electric showdown in Week 11 of NCAA action! This Mississippi State-Tennessee matchup brings over a century of history, dating back to their first clash in 1907.
The Vols, riding high at 7-1, have consistently dominated this series, boasting a 29-16-1 record overall and going 7-1 against the Bulldogs since 1995. Tennessee’s defense will look to silence a struggling Mississippi State offense that’s battling for pride as +23.5 underdogs.
With the Vols’ explosive offense poised to light up Neyland Stadium, fans and bettors alike should keep an eye on the high over/under of 61.
The Tennessee Volunteers head into this week 11 matchup with a 7-1 record, and they are the heavy favorite over the Mississippi State Bulldogs, who are just 2-7 on the season.
Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, and ESPN will be covering the action.
The over/under line is currently at 61 points, with the Vols favored by -23.5 points.
Stay tuned as we roll into another thrilling week of NCAA football!
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State enters Week 11 with a 2-7 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They rank 69th in our power rankings and are 0-3 on the road this season. The Bulldogs have been favored in just two games, going 1-1 as the favorite and 0-6 as the underdog.
Their ATS record stands at 4-4, with a 2-1 mark on the road and 2-3 at home. Mississippi State has gone 1-1 against the spread as the favorite and 3-3 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of -5.4 points per game.
The over/under line for this week is 61 points, higher than their average line of 56.8. Mississippi State’s over/under record is 6-2, with their games averaging 63.7 points per contest.
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Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
Mississippi State’s offense is averaging 29.1 points per game, placing them 50th in the nation as they head into week 11. They are ranked 54th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the strength of their offense, ranking 26th nationally with 255.2 yards per game. They are 38th in passing attempts, averaging 31.1 per game, and 37th in completions, with 19 per game. Their passer rating is 34th in the country.
Michael Van Buren Jr. leads the Bulldogs with 1,323 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 89. On the ground, Mississippi State averages 144.8 rushing yards per game. Davon Booth leads the team with 472 rushing yards, three touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Kevin Coleman Jr. has 688 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 57 catches.
Mississippi State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 34.6 points per game. They rank 133rd in the nation, giving up 250 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 71.1% of their passes. On the ground, they’ve allowed 214 rushing yards per game, ranking 163rd.
In their recent game against UMass, the defense gave up 20 points but managed an interception. They allowed 335 total yards, including 199 rushing yards on 49 attempts and 136 passing yards.
Tennessee Volunteers
With a 7-1 record, Tennessee ranks 8th in our power rankings and is projected to be bowl-eligible. They have a 12.3% chance of winning the Southeastern but hold a 73% chance of making the playoff, the 7th highest in the nation.
The Volunteers are 3-0 at home and 2-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in five games, going 4-1 as the favorite. Tennessee’s average scoring margin is +25.8, and they are 4-2 against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is set at 61 points. Tennessee’s games have averaged 50.5 points, with an average line of 56.3 points. Their over/under record stands at 3-3 for the season.
Tennessee Volunteers Stats
Heading into week 11, Tennessee’s offense ranks 12th in rushing attempts and yards, averaging 237.1 yards per game. They are also 12th in scoring, with 38.1 points per game, but sit 42nd in our offensive power rankings.
Dylan Sampson leads the Volunteers with 980 rushing yards and 19 touchdowns. Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 1,705 yards, completing 65.4% of his passes, with nine touchdowns and four interceptions.
Heading into their matchup against Mississippi State, Tennessee’s defense ranks 5th nationally, allowing just 12.4 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 99.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 12th in the country, and 181.5 passing yards per game, ranking 31st. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 73.1 and are completing 58.9% of their passes against Tennessee.
In their recent game against Kentucky, Tennessee’s defense allowed 18 points but forced two interceptions. They gave up 366 total yards, including 174 rushing yards on 36 attempts and 192 passing yards, while allowing two passing touchdowns.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Tennessee Volunteers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tennessee Volunteers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Mississippi State Bulldogs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Tennessee Volunteers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 11 NCAA Betting Prediction: Mississippi State +23.5
Our projections have Tennessee winning this matchup 34-26, but with Mississippi State as +23.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 61 points, our combined score projection of 60 points suggests taking the under.
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