Free NCAA Pick: Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Odds
Looking for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Gamecocks on Saturday, September 23rd at the Williams-Brice Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Mississippi State South Carolina matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (1-2)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Williams-Brice Stadium
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Mississippi State +5 | South Carolina -5
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: Mississippi State +171 | South Carolina -213
College Football Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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In this week’s college football action, the (2-1) Mississippi State Bulldogs are set to clash with the (1-2) South Carolina Gamecocks in Columbia, SC. The showdown is scheduled for a 7:30 PM ET kickoff, airing on SEC Network, marking the second game of SEC play for both teams.
As per the betting odds, Mississippi State enters as the underdog at +5, while South Carolina holds the favorite position at -5. The moneyline odds favor South Carolina at -213, with Mississippi State at +171. The over/under for the game is set at 50.5 points.
Notably, both teams have a comparable ATS record in 2023, with Mississippi State at 1-2 ATS and the Gamecocks at 2-1 ATS.
In terms of series history, South Carolina holds the edge with a 9-7 lead. Last season, the Gamecocks boasted a strong ATS record of 7-5-1. Additionally, under the leadership of coach Shane Beamer, the Gamecocks have a respectable 16-13 record.
It’s worth noting that South Carolina currently ranks last in the SEC in rushing yards per game, averaging just 53 yards. Be sure to stay tuned to our College football handicapping blog for valuable insights into this exciting matchup!
There wasn’t a head-to-head matchup between South Carolina and Mississippi State last season. But looking back across their previous three head-to-head games, South Carolina is 2-1. However, against the spread Mississippi State went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 0-2 on an average of 57 points per game.
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Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State fell behind early in their most recent game vs. LSU, trailing 10-0 after the first quarter. The Bulldogs ended up losing 41-14.
When looking at the spread, the Bulldogs are still undefeated at 0-0. The team’s scoring margin so far this year is at +7. So far, they have been favored in all of their games.
After three games, the average over/under line in Mississippi State’s matches stands at 60.5 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 55 points, resulting in an OU record of 0-0.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
On the offensive side, Mississippi State has averaged 31 points per game this season.
This figure has them 43rd in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 165.3 passing yards, is ranked 109th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 49th in rushing yards with an average of 99 rushing attempts per contest this season.
Defensively, the Bulldogs defense has come up with six sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 24 points per contest (47th). Against the pass, they are 145th in the NCAA, having allowed 277.3 passing yards allowed per game.
Mississippi State is giving up 112.3 rushing yards per contest.
The Bulldogs’ passing game featured 29 pass attempts for 107 yards and one score vs. LSU. In the rushing department, they averaged 4.5 yards per carry and notched one rushing touchdown.
South Carolina Gamecocks
South Carolina is coming off a tough 24-14 loss to Georgia. The Gamecocks couldn’t hold on after a strong first-half, going into halftime with a 14-7 lead. South Carolina was outscored by 17 in the second half.
Having been favored in each of their first three games, South Carolina has yet to cover the spread. Their ATS record is 0-2 on an average scoring margin of +0.6 points per contest.
This season, South Carolina has an over/under record of 0-2. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 51.3 points, with the typical over/under line being 58.5 points.
South Carolina Gamecocks Stats
South Carolina’s rushing attack is ranked 55th in college football with 86 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 53 rushing yards per game, placing them 137th nationally.
On average, they are attempting 39.7 passes per game leading to 357.3 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 54th position, averaging 26 points per game.
In the passing game, the Gamecocks threw the ball 42 times for 256 and one score against Georgia. On the ground, they averaged 3.3 yards per carry and finished with one rushing touchdown
In terms of passing yards allowed per game, South Carolina’s defense is ranked 59th. Opponents, on average, attempt 33.7 passes against the Gamecocks.
They are allowing 25.3 PPG, which places them 50th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 90th in the NCAA.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Bulldogs are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Gamecocks are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bulldogs are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Gamecocks have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bulldogs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Gamecocks’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | +165 | +196 | +5 | +6.5 |
| Gamecocks | -205 | -243 | -5 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: Mississippi State +5
South Carolina has struggled with turnovers in their passing game lately.
The Bulldogs D-Line has to get pressure on Spencer Rattler Saturday and I think they’re up to the task.
MS State may even steal a W on the road in this one. A few timely turnovers and this SEC clash could get crazy.
As the away underdogs, I’m leaning towards Mississippi State to cover the spread at +5, as they’re 5-1 in their last 6 games.
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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/GamecockFB/status/1703875988327723072
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