Free NCAA Pick: Mississippi State vs. Arkansas Odds
Looking for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Razorbacks on Saturday, October 21st at the Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Mississippi State Arkansas matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(3-3) Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-5)
Date: Saturday, October 21st
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
NCAA Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Mississippi State +7 | Arkansas -7
Week 8 CFB Moneyline Odds: Mississippi State +218 | Arkansas -285
College Football Betting Total: O/U 50
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Here’s the scoop on today’s Week 8 NCAA football game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3, 0-3 SEC, 1-5 ATS) and the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-5, 0-4 SEC, 4-3 ATS) happening on Saturday, October 21st, at 12:00 ET in Fayetteville, AR’s Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, aired on ESPN.
Check out the current betting lines: Arkansas -7, with Moneyline odds at Mississippi State +218 and Arkansas -285. The over/under for the game is set at 50.
In terms of history, Arkansas is eager to bounce back after five straight losses, while Mississippi State, fresh from a bye week, has lost three consecutive games. The Bulldogs did secure a win against Western Michigan (41-28).
Arkansas will be looking for revenge in this week’s game, as the most recent matchup between the teams ended in a 40-17 win for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs had a big game in the passing attack, throwing for 395 on 48 attempts.
Defensively, Mississippi State gave up 242 passing yards and 241 on the ground.
In their head-to-head record, Arkansas leads 18-13, and Mississippi State has struggled on the road with a 4-10-1 record when playing away. These teams have been clashing since 1916.
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Mississippi State Bulldogs
In Mississippi State’s 41-28 win over Western Michigan, the Bulldogs had a big 4th quarter. The teams went into the 4th quarter all tied at 31-31.
Mississippi State has not covered the spread so far this season. As the underdog, they are 0-3 and 0-1 when favored. The team has an average scoring margin of +0.7 points per contest.
In six games played, the average over/under line for Mississippi State’s games has been set at 52.2 points.
These contests have seen an average combined score of 59.7 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-0.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
The Bulldogs’ offense is set to face Arkansas while averaging 152.8 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 84th for rushing yards and 92nd for passing yards, with an average of 222.7 yards per matchup.
Overall, Mississippi State is putting up 30.2 points per game, which is 54th nationally.
This season, the Bulldogs’ defense has allowed 131.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 136th. Opponents average 263.5 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 109.3 against Mississippi State.
They hold the 38th position in NCAA points allowed.
The Bulldogs’ passing game featured 32 pass attempts for 246 yards and three scores vs. Western Michigan. In the rushing department, they averaged 5.9 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
Arkansas Razorbacks
After trailing by -14 at halftime, Arkansas could not make a comeback and lost their most recent game 24-21 to Alabama.
So far, Arkansas has been favored two times and the underdog in four games.
This has led to an ATS record of 3-3 and an average scoring differential of +4.7.
After seven games, the average over/under line in Arkansas’ matches stands at 53.5 points.
The collective score in their games has averaged 55 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-3.
Arkansas Razorbacks Stats
Heading into their matchup vs. Mississippi State, the Razorbacks’ offense is averaging 109.9 rushing yards per game, along with 2 yards per attempt.
They currently hold the 107th rank in rushing yards and 67th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 211.1 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Arkansas is at 29.9 points per game, which is 37th in the NCAA.
The Razorbacks’ offense finished with 250 yards of offense against Alabama. 100 of these yards came on the ground compared to 150 through the air.
On third down they went 4/14 and threw for two touchdowns.
Arkansas’ defense is ranked 124th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 26.6 passing attempts against the Razorbacks.
They have given up 25.1 points per game so far, placing them 95th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 77th.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Bulldogs are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Razorbacks are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bulldogs are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Razorbacks have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bulldogs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Razorbacks’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Mississippi State vs. Arkansas Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | +210 | +218 | +7 | +7 |
| Razorbacks | -265 | -285 | -7 | -7 |
4* Free Week 8 NCAA Betting Prediction: Mississippi State +7
I’m not here today to say the Bulldogs will win their first SEC game, but I am here to say Mississippi State are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games, and Arkansas are 1-6 SU in their L7 vs. SEC teams. Both teams are looking to get bowl eligible, and they’re in each others way this weekend.
My pick on the spread is Mississippi State at +7. I’m expecting the Mississippi State rushing attack to exploit the weaknesses in Arkansas’ rush defense.
My play for this game is Mississippi State at +7.
Bet OVER the total of 50 this week on the O/U in this matchup. My model has this coming in at 55.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of State’s last 5 games, and 14 of Arkansas’ last 20 games against the Bulldogs.
Plus at home we’ve seen the OVER hit in 12 of the Razorbacks’ L17.
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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Homecoming in Arkansas!
https://twitter.com/RazorbackFB/status/1713925309895246005
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