Free Week 11 Prediction: Bulldogs vs Crimson Tide Odds
Looking for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide free picks? Week 11 College football betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Crimson Tide on Saturday November 12 at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
(4-5) Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (9-0)
Date: Saturday, November 12
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama
NCAA Football Spread: Alabama -28.5
NCAA Betting Total: 55.5
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Mississippi State got a really nice win over Texas A&M last week.
A lot pegged that as a dangerous spot for the Aggies and they were right. Now they have to hope that some of that momentum carries forward to this week. An even stiffer test and on the road.
Alabama is probably the best team in the country but so many times they leave you wanting more.
Shutting out LSU is pretty good but winning any game 10-0 in the modern era is far from satisfying.
Still oddsmakers are making the Tide a 50/50 proposition to take the title now.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Bulldogs need two more wins to become bowl eligible with just three to play so each game is critical.
They really helped their chances last week by likely knocking the Aggies right out of the playoff conversation. If they beat Alabama it will knock them down a peg but probably not out.
With Dak Prescott tearing up the NFL this is a rebuilding year in Starkville.
Replacement Nick Fitzgerald is doing a pretty good job leading the team in throwing and rushing. Pretty good for such a big guy – he is 6’5, 230.
In the past the Bulldogs have been able to put together some really good defenses but this year’s has not measured up.
When they are able to be strong on that side of the ball they gain momentum and it really helps them perform.
This is not a good matchup for Mississippi State. They have lost the last eight in the series. Though they have covered in two of the last three.
Alabama Crimson Tide
10-0 is nothing exciting but they were on the road and they covered. Though we should not be surprised the defense was brilliant last week giving up just 125 yards of offense.
Even by Alabama’s impressive standards that is an awesome performance, usually they allow opponents twice that number – they are second in the nation in yards allowed…and second in points allowed and first against the run.
They are so strong on defense you almost expect a three and out every time the opponent gets the ball.
Over the years it has been amazing because Alabama has had elite defenses while ramping up their offensive production. This year they are averaging 40ppg and that is with a freshman at quarterback.
Jalen Hurts has amazing potential and with experience he is probably going to become the best QB they have had since Saban got there. It is almost kind of scary to think about.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Crimson Tide last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Prediction
This is a huge number but justified based on the season to date. Alabama has the perfect record of course but they are also a very profitable 7-2 against the spread.
Betting against them in any way has to be done with caution. Probably best to pass even though those points are tempting.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Under
I almost never go under but this seems like the right situation and not just because Alabama barely scored last week. The Tide always play good defense and I am not expecting them to give up much.
I am expecting Mississippi State to play sound too even if they won’t be in the game all that much.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Alabama 38 – Mississippi State 7
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