Free Week 9 Prediction: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Odds
Looking for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide free picks? Week 9 betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 31st at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Bulldogs Crimson Tide Week 9 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 9
(1-3) Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (5-0)
Date: Saturday, October 31st, 2020
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama
NCAA Football Spread: Alabama -31
NCAA Betting Total: O/U 63.5
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Alabama is favored by 31 on Saturday night and that number still looks low as the only question in this game is when Nick Saban takes his foot off the gas. The Alabama coach might have something to prove to Mike Leach.
Leach is the new Mississippi State coach that was supposed to take the SEC by storm after a 44-34 win over LSU in the opener. The storm has subsided, as the Bulldogs have scored a total of 30 points in three games since.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
The good news for Mississippi State is that they’ve had time off to try to get their offense right after a bye week. 7 days may not be long enough though for a team that has scored 14, 2, and 14 points the last three weeks.
The Air Raid offense is very short pass oriented, but Arkansas proved in week 2 that if you rush three players and drop eight into pass coverage it gives MSU QB K.J. Costello fits.
Costello threw for a conference record 623 yards and added 5 TDs vs. LSU. Since defense started adjusting, Costello has 1 TD and 8 INT the last three games.
For as bad as their offense has looked lately, the Mississippi State defense hasn’t been bad, especially when being on the field so much. The Bulldogs are 15th in total yards allowed, but Alabama is a whole different challenge.
Alabama Crimson Tide
If Leach can get his offense fixed in the bye week, this meeting has the potential to be a shootout as the 63.5 total would indicate. Alabama has looked great, but they’re still the team that beat Ole Miss 63-48 in week 6.
Plus, the Crimson Tide look like they’ve tightened things up since that game with the Rebels. Alabama went on a 21-0 second half run against a good Georgia team and dominated Tennessee 48-17 a week ago.
The Crimson Tide have done what they want on offense all season, scoring at least 40+ points in four straight games. ‘Bama has the #3 offense in the country in total yards, pass yards, and points scored.
Saban also has two emerging Heisman candidates on the offensive side of the ball. Mac Jones has at least 380 yards passing in four straight (but didn’t throw a TD vs. the Vols) and Najee Harris has 9 rushing TDs the last three games.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS last 11 conference games
- Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS last 9 road games
- Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS last 6 vs. teams with a winning record
- Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 road games
- Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS last 4 home games
- Over is 5-1 in Crimson Tide last 6 conference games
- Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS last 6 in Alabama
- Under is 10-2-1 in last 13 meetings
Free Week 9 NCAA Football Prediction:
Alabama has only won by over 31 points once in the last 10 games in this series. It’s a very unique college football season and the Crimson Tide look great, but you have to think the bye last week helps Mississippi State a bit.
Free NCAA Betting Pick: Mississippi State +31
It’s going to be close (in terms of the spread), but that’s a ton of points in an SEC matchup.
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