Free NCAA Pick: Minnesota vs. Northwestern Odds
Looking for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Northwestern Wildcats free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Golden Gophers taking on the Wildcats on Saturday, September 23rd at the Ryan Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Minnesota Northwestern matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Northwestern Wildcats (1-2)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Ryan Field
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota -13 | Northwestern +13
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: Minnesota -584 | Northwestern +416
College Football Betting Total: O/U 39.5
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In this weekend’s Big Ten showdown, the Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-1) are taking on the Northwestern Wildcats (1-2) in Evanston, Illinois. Catch the action on BTN.
The spread favorite is Minnesota (-11.5), with moneylines at Minnesota (-446) and Northwestern (+341), and the total set at 38 points.
Minnesota’s struggling with a 0-3 ATS record in 2023, while Northwestern is 1-2 ATS.
Stay tuned to our NCAA football handicapping blog for expert insights on this thrilling matchup!
The last time Minnesota and Northwestern faced off came last year, ending in a 31-3 win for Minnesota. Minnesota’s rushing attack finished with 302 rushing yards and averaged 5.2 yards per attempt.
Defensively, they gave up 278 yards of offense to Northwestern.
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Minnesota Golden Gophers
The Golden Gophers could never recover from a rough first quarter in their most recent game vs. North Carolina, as they trailed 7-0 after the first period. Minnesota ended up dropping the game 31-13.
Minnesota has gone into one game as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 1-2.
This season, Minnesota holds an over/under record of 0-3. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 32.7 points, with the typical over/under line set at 47.8 points.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Stats
The Golden Gophers come into their matchup vs. Northwestern 31st in college football at 112 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 173.7 rushing yards per game, placing them 54th nationally.
Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 29.7 times each game, accumulating an average of 148.7 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 74th, with 17 points per game.
The Golden Gophers defense comes into the game with nine sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 15.7 points per game (25th).
When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 67th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 199.7 passing yards per game. Additionally, Minnesota’s run defense comes in allowing 122.3 rushing yards per contest.
On offense, Minnesota did not throw for a touchdown vs. North Carolina but did run for one score. In terms of overall yards, they finished with 303 and averaged 5.5 yards per rushing attempt and 133 total passing yards.
Northwestern Wildcats
Against Duke, the Wildcats trailed by -17 going into the 4th quarter and ended up losing by a score of 38-14.
Northwestern’s average scoring differential for the season is -3 leading to an ATS mark of 1-2. The Wildcats have been favored two times and the underdog in one games
After three games, the average over/under line in Northwestern’s matches stands at 42 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 42.7 points, resulting in an OU record of 2-1.
Northwestern Wildcats Stats
Northwestern comes into the game with an offense averaging 19.7, which places them at 70th in the NCAA rankings.
Their passing game has them ranked 100th nationally, with an average of 186.3 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 109th in the nation, with 91 rushing attempts per game for the season.
In the passing game, the Wildcats threw the ball 40 times for 163 and one score against Duke. On the ground, they averaged 3.5 yards per carry and finished with one rushing touchdown
Looking at this week’s game, the Northwestern defense stands at 45th in points allowed, permitting 23 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 199 passing yards per game against them (65th).
On the ground, they’re conceding 164.7 rushing yards, ranking them 107th in college football.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Northwestern Wildcats NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Golden Gophers are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Golden Gophers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Wildcats have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Golden Gophers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Wildcats’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Minnesota vs. Northwestern Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Gophers | -770 | -478 | -13 | -11 |
| Wildcats | +510 | +355 | +13 | +11 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: Northwestern +13
After struggling to move the ball in the passing game against North Carolina, I’m not expecting much from Minnesota this week.
This is why I’m leaning towards Northwestern as 13-point underdogs.
After putting up 14 vs. Duke last week I’m expecting the offense to keep making strides this week.
They won’t go down without a “small” fight. I’m picking the Gophers by 10. Hey…it’s improvement.
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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Northwestern Wildcats NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
— Northwestern Football (@NUFBFamily) September 16, 2023
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