Free NCAA Pick: Minnesota vs. Michigan Odds
Looking for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Golden Gophers taking on the Wolverines on Saturday, September 28th at the Michigan Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Minnesota Michigan matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(2-2) Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines (3-1)
Date: Saturday, September 28th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota +9.5 | Michigan -9.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Minnesota +277 | Michigan -367
College Football Betting Total: O/U 38.5
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Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor will be the site for this week five matchup between the Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Michigan Wolverines. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET, with FOX handling the television broadcast.
The Wolverines are favored by -9.5 points, and the over/under line is currently at 38.5 points. Michigan comes in with a 3-1 record, while Minnesota is 2-2 on the season.
While Minnesota snagged a win back in 2014, Michigan has largely controlled this matchup, winning all but two games since 1987.
In this latest installment, we’re leaning towards the OVER on the 38.5-point total. With these teams’ historical trends and Michigan’s firepower, this game has the potential to soar past the posted line.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Minnesota is now 2-2 after a 31-14 loss to Iowa. The Gophers, who were +3 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The over/under line was set at 35 points, and the game finished with a combined 45 points.
After trailing 14-0 in the second quarter, Minnesota managed to cut the deficit to 14-7 by halftime. The Gophers tied the game at 14-14 in the third quarter, but Iowa pulled away, scoring 17 unanswered points to hand Minnesota the loss.
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Minnesota Golden Gophers Stats
Minnesota’s offense, led by quarterback Max Brosmer, totaled 288 yards in their 31-14 loss to Iowa. Brosmer completed 22 of 37 passes for 209 yards, with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Daniel Jackson was his top target, catching nine passes for 112 yards.
The Gophers’ offense struggled on the ground, managing just 79 rushing yards on 21 attempts. Darius Taylor led the team in rushing with 34 yards on 10 carries.
Minnesota’s defense will be looking to bounce back after giving up 272 rushing yards and four touchdowns to Iowa in their last game. The Gophers allowed 334 total yards and 31 points, with Iowa completing 11 of 19 passes for 62 yards through the air.
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan enters their next game with a 3-1 record after pulling off an upset over USC. The Wolverines, who were +4 point underdogs, not only won the game but also covered the spread. This was a big win for Michigan, as USC was ranked higher at the time. The over/under line for the game was 44 points, but the teams combined for 51 points, hitting the over.
Michigan took an early 7-0 lead, but USC responded to make it 14-3 at halftime. The Wolverines outscored USC 14-6 in the third quarter and held on for a 27-24 win.
Michigan Wolverines Stats
Michigan’s offense was powered by their ground game in their 27-24 win over USC, with the team rushing for 291 yards and three touchdowns. The Wolverines finished with 323 total yards and 12 first downs. The passing game was limited to just 32 yards on 7 completions from Alex Orji.
Kalel Mullings was the standout in the running game, picking up 159 yards on 17 carries and scoring two touchdowns. Marlin Klein was the leading receiver with 10 yards on one catch.
Michigan’s defense will be looking to improve after allowing 379 total yards and 27 first downs to USC in their most recent game. The Wolverines were particularly vulnerable through the air, giving up 283 passing yards on 28 completions. Despite this, Michigan’s defense did come up with one interception. On the ground, they were more effective, limiting USC to 96 rushing yards. However, Michigan’s defense did give up three passing touchdowns in the game.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 1-3-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Michigan Wolverines are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Minnesota Golden Gophers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Michigan Wolverines have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Minnesota Golden Gophers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Michigan Wolverines’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Minnesota +9.5
The Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the Michigan Wolverines in a classic rivalry showdown, battling for the coveted Little Brown Jug. Michigan holds a commanding 77-25-3 edge in the all-time series, dominating with a 16-game win streak from 1987 to 2004 and four straight victories since 2015.
We have Minnesota winning this matchup as road underdogs vs. Michigan, with a projected final score of 24-17 in favor of the Gophers. Minnesota is currently +9.5 point favorites, and we like their chances to cover the spread.
With the over/under line set at 38.5 points, our projection of 41 total points aligns closely with the line, but we would lean towards the OVER as the more favorable play.
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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Battle for the Little Brown Jug#GoBlue pic.twitter.com/axvJXzh1sM
— Michigan Football (@UMichFootball) September 23, 2024
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