Free NCAA Pick: Minnesota vs. Illinois Odds
Looking for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini free NCAA Week 10 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Golden Gophers taking on the Fighting Illini on Saturday, November 2nd at the Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Minnesota Illinois matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(5-3) Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (6-2)
Date: Saturday, November 2nd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL), Champaign, IL
Week 10 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota -3 | Illinois +3
Week 10 CFB Moneyline Odds: Minnesota -151 | Illinois +126
College Football Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Buckle up for some classic Big Ten action as Minnesota, favored by -3, faces off against Illinois!
The Illini have been a gambler’s dream in this matchup, covering the spread in their last three games against the Golden Gophers.
History’s on Minnesota’s side with a 40-33-3 series lead, but Illinois snagged a thrilling 27-26 victory last November in Minneapolis. Minnesota’s last decisive win came in 2020 with a 41-14 blowout.
This week, the spread’s tight, the stakes are high, and Illinois is eyeing another cover against a Minnesota squad that’s looking to reclaim dominance.
Minnesota is the -3 point favorite on the road as they head into this week 10 matchup against Illinois. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET at Memorial Stadium in Champaign, IL.
The game will be broadcast on FS1, and the over/under line is currently at 45.5 points. The money line odds are -151 for Minnesota and +126 for Illinois.
Minnesota has a 5-3 record, while Illinois is 6-2 on the season.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
At 5-3 this season, Minnesota faces Illinois in Week 10. They rank 35th in our CFB power rankings and have a 90.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Golden Gophers are 3-2 at home and 1-1 on the road so far this year.
Minnesota has gone 5-1-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +11.1 points per game. They are 3-0 ATS as the favorite and 2-1-1 as the underdog.
Their over/under record is 3-4, with an average line of 42.3 points. This week’s line is set at 45.5 points, and their games have averaged 44.6 points per contest.
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Minnesota Golden Gophers Stats
Minnesota’s offense ranks 50th in points per game, averaging 27.9, and is 60th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Their passing game has been efficient, completing 69.6% of their passes, which ranks 9th nationally. They are 22nd in completions, with 21.5 per game, but 63rd in passing yards, averaging 226.4 yards per game. They have converted 47% of their third downs, ranking 17th.
Max Brosmer leads the team with 1,776 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 100. Darius Taylor has rushed for 513 yards and 7 touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Daniel Jackson leads the receivers with 568 yards and 3 touchdowns on 51 catches.
Heading into their matchup with Illinois, Minnesota’s defense is ranked 15th nationally, allowing just 16.8 points per game. They also rank 12th in the country in passing yards allowed, giving up only 162.5 yards per game through the air, with opposing quarterbacks posting a passer rating of just 55.8, the fifth-lowest in college football.
In their recent game against Maryland, Minnesota’s defense gave up 23 points but also forced two interceptions. They allowed 428 total yards, with 323 coming through the air, while holding Maryland to 105 rushing yards on 25 attempts.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois enters Week 10 with a 6-2 record, but they have a 3-0 mark at home. They are 55th in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. However, they have a 0% chance of winning the Big Ten.
Their average scoring margin is +6.4 points, and they are 3-2 against the spread. Illinois has been favored in just one game this season, and their over/under record is 0-5, with an average line of 49.4 points.
As the favorite, Illinois is 1-0, and they are 2-2 as the underdog. At home, they are 1-0 as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog. This week’s over/under line is 45.5 points, compared to their average line of 49.4 points.
Illinois Fighting Illini Stats
Heading into week 10, Illinois is averaging 27 points per game, placing them 57th in the nation. Our offensive power rankings have them at 50th. Quarterback Luke Altmyer has thrown for 1,667 yards, completing 63.1% of his passes, with 15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 103, and Illinois ranks 28th nationally in passer rating.
They are 46th in completions, averaging 17.4 per game, and 77th in passing yards, with 212 yards per game. On third downs, they convert 41.8% of their attempts. On the ground, Illinois averages 145 rushing yards per game. Kaden Feagin leads the team with 306 yards and 3 touchdowns. Pat Bryant has 504 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns.
Illinois’ defense will look to bounce back after allowing 38 points in their recent loss to Oregon. The Fighting Illini gave up 527 total yards, including 298 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air. They also allowed 229 rushing yards on 39 carries but did manage to force one interception.
On the season, Illinois ranks 34th nationally, allowing 20.6 points per game. Opponents are averaging 156.2 rushing yards per game on 34 attempts, while quarterbacks have posted a 62.6% completion rate and a 211.2 passer rating against Illinois’ defense.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Illinois Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Minnesota Golden Gophers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Illinois Fighting Illini have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Minnesota Golden Gophers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Illinois Fighting Illini’s have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 10 NCAA Betting Prediction: Minnesota -3
Minnesota comes into this week 10 matchup as -3 point favorites over Illinois. We have the Gophers winning this game 23-16, so we would recommend taking Minnesota to cover the spread as the road favorite.
With the over/under line sitting at 45.5 points, our projection of 39 total points suggests taking the under as the best play for this matchup.
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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
It’s Game Week in Champaign. #Illini // #HTTO // #famILLy pic.twitter.com/wMEJAOBrQr
— Illinois Football (@IlliniFootball) October 28, 2024
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