Free NCAA Pick: Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty Odds
Looking for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Liberty Flames free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Blue Raiders taking on the Flames on Tuesday, October 17th at the Williams Stadium (VA). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Middle Tennessee Liberty matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(2-5) Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Liberty Flames (6-0)
Date: Tuesday, October 17th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA
NCAA Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Middle Tennessee +14.5 | Liberty -14.5
Week 8 CFB Moneyline Odds: Middle Tennessee +475 | Liberty -719
College Football Betting Total: O/U 55
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Get ready for some Tuesday night college football action in the Conference USA as the Blue Raiders (2-5, 2-5 ATS) take on the Flames (6-0, 5-1 ATS). It’s happening at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA, and you can catch it on CBSSN at 7:00 ET.
When it comes to the betting lines for NCAA Week 8, Liberty started as favorites at -10, but they’re now sitting at -14.5. The moneyline odds are Middle Tennessee at +475 and Liberty at -719. The total betting line is set at Over/Under 55.
These teams have history, with the all-time series tied at 1-1. The first meeting was way back in 1982 when MTSU won 27-7. However, Liberty had the upper hand in their most recent clash in 2021, winning convincingly with a score of 41-13.
Middle Tennessee and Liberty did not play last season.
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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
The Blue Raiders’ most recent game came against Louisiana Tech and led to them picking up a 31-23 win.
So far, Middle Tennessee has been favored two times and the underdog in three games. This has led to an ATS record of 2-3 and an average scoring differential of -9.7.
The average point total in Middle Tennessee’s seven games is currently 54 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 2-2-1 for the Blue Raiders.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Stats
Middle Tennessee’s offense has put up an average of 22.1 points per game, placing them 68th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 267.3 passing yards on average, ranking 29th in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 92nd position in rushing yards, with 226 rushing attempts per game this season.
In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Middle Tennessee’s defense is ranked 62nd. Opponents, on average, attempt 35.6 passes against the Blue Raiders. They are allowing 31.9 PPG, which places them 121st in college football.
Their rush defense ranks 80th in the NCAA.
In the passing game, the Blue Raiders threw the ball 29 times for 248 and two scores against Louisiana Tech.
On the ground, they averaged 3.2 yards per carry and finished with two rushing touchdowns
Liberty Flames
Liberty most recently took down Jacksonville State by a score of 31-13. The Flames went into the 4th quarter of this game leading by 11.
Through six games, the Flames have yet to lose vs. the spread, at 4-0. Heading into this week, they have a scoring margin of +18.2 and have been favored in every game.
Through six games, the average over/under line in Liberty’s games is 53 points. Their games have averaged a combined 52.5 points leading to an OU record of 2-2.
Liberty Flames Stats
The Flames’ heads into the game, averaging 254.3 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 3rd in rushing yards and 3rd in passing yards at 225.5 yards per contest. Liberty is averaging 35.3 points per game, which is 34th in the nation.
The Flames’ passing game featured 21 pass attempts for 177 yards and two scores vs. Jacksonville State.
In the rushing department, they averaged 4.8 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
The Liberty defense holds the 48th position in points allowed, allowing 17.2 points per game. Teams have an average of 194.7 passing yards per game against them (45th nationally).
In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 121 rushing yards, placing them 48th in college football.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Liberty Flames NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Blue Raiders are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Flames are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Blue Raiders are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Flames have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Blue Raiders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Flames’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Raiders | +425 | +476 | +13.5 | +14.5 |
| Flames | -670 | -719 | -13.5 | -14.5 |
4* Free Week 8 NCAA Betting Prediction: Middle Tennessee +14.5
MTSU can cover because of one man. Sophmore QB Nicholas Vattiato. 11 TD’s only 6 INT’s and he’s not afraid to chuck it all over the field.
Last game out he was 23/29 with 248 yds and 2 TD’s. They average 22PPG.
Coming into this game, Liberty’s offense has been a below average group at converting on third downs. I’m not counting on them suddenly figuring this out and like MTSU +14.5 on the spread, but in no way do I think Liberty will lose this Tuesday night matchup.
They’ll win comfortably, but as I said MTSU can cover. They are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games played in October.
My model has this one coming in at 51 total points. Back the UNDER.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Liberty’s last 5 games, and 5 of their last 7.
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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Liberty Flames NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Good choices…
https://twitter.com/LibertyFootball/status/1714027459132248533
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