Free NCAA Pick: Michigan vs. Penn State Odds
Looking for Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wolverines taking on the Nittany Lions on Saturday, November 11th at the Beaver Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Michigan Penn State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(9-0) Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1)
Date: Saturday, November 11th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
NCAA Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Michigan -4.5 | Penn State +4.5
Week 11 CFB Moneyline Odds: Michigan -201 | Penn State +165
College Football Betting Total: O/U 44
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#2 vs. #9. A white out on the menu! YES PLEASE!
Michigan is 3-0 on the road. Penn State is 5-0 at home. WHAT is going to give in this one? Have your say! Comment below.
Michigan (9-0 overall, 6-0 Big Ten) has had a smooth ride this season. They haven’t had a close game, and their smallest victory margin has been 24. Will that change this week? Penn State will sure do their best to accommodate.
Michigan currently holds the bragging rights over Penn State as in their most recent head to head matchup, they won 41-17. Defensively, the Wolverines held Penn State to just 157 passing yards.
On offense, Michigan went 11/17 on 3rd down and compiled 563 yards of total offense.
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Michigan Wolverines
Fueling Michigan’s most recent 41-13 win over Purdue was a strong first quarter. In the game, they were up 17-0 after the opening quarter.
While being favored in all of their games so far this season, Michigan is 4-4-1 against the spread. The team comes into the game with an average scoring margin of +34.
So far this season, Michigan boasts an over/under record of 5-4. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 47.3 points, while the average over/under line has been 48.8 points.
Michigan Wolverines Stats
On the offensive side, Michigan has averaged 40.7 points per game this season. This figure has them 6th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 257.1 passing yards, is ranked 46th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 51st in rushing yards with an average of 327 rushing attempts per contest this season.
Michigan comes into the game 28th in points allowed, allowing 6.7 points per game. Teams have been gaining 141.3 passing yards on average against them (11th). Against the run, they’re giving up 90 yards, placing them 13th in college football.
The Wolverines’ offense wrapped up their game vs. Purdue with five rushing touchdowns and 112 rushing yards on 33 attempts. Unfortunately, their passing game couldn’t find the endzone and gained 335 yards on 37 attempts.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Fueling Penn State’s most recent 51-15 win over Maryland was a strong first quarter. In the game, they were up 14-0 after the opening quarter.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Michigan, the Nittany Lions have been favored in seven games and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-2.
Over nine games, the average over/under line for Penn State’s games has been 47.4 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 52.1 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-3.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
The Nittany Lions come into their matchup vs. Michigan 15th in college football at 371 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 175 rushing yards per game, placing them 43rd nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 34.1 times each game, accumulating an average of 220.8 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 7th, with 40.2 points per game.
Offensively, the Nittany Lions finished with two scores on the ground against Maryland while running for 163 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Penn State scored four times and threw the ball 39 times for 246 yards.
Penn State’s defense sits at 45th for points allowed, allowing 11.9 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 173.9 passing yards per game against them (28th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 61 rushing yards, ranking them 5th in college football.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Wolverines are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Wolverines are 9-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Nittany Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Wolverines’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Nittany Lions’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Michigan vs. Penn State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverines | -218 | -201 | -5 | -4.5 |
| Nittany Lions | +180 | +165 | +5 | +4.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Prediction: Michigan -4.5
Michigan is the road favorite at -4.5 and I’m taking them to cover. Michigan’s offense played well against Purdue
The running game wasn’t efficient but against the Boilermakers QB and Heisman Trophy candidate J.J. McCarthy threw for a season-high 335 yards. His favorite WR Roman Wilson had 9 for 143. Penn State has already seen Marvin Harrison Jr. this year, so they’ll have a plan in place, I just don’t think it will matter.
I expect Michigan to carry their offensive momentum into this week’s game against Penn State.
The Wolverines won last year 41-17. It should be a better game than that.
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Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Top Notch Atmosphere!
Saturday. #107kStrong pic.twitter.com/GMrOvZ0ets
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) November 9, 2023
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