Free NCAA Pick: Michigan vs. Michigan State Odds
Looking for Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wolverines taking on the Spartans on Saturday, October 21st at the Spartan Stadium (MI). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Michigan Michigan State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(7-0) Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans (2-4)
Date: Saturday, October 21st
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Spartan Stadium (MI), East Lansing, MI
NCAA Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Michigan -24.5 | Michigan State +24.5
Week 8 CFB Moneyline Odds: Michigan -3400 | Michigan State +1276
College Football Betting Total: O/U 48
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Get ready for an epic showdown in Week 8 of the 2023 NCAAF season as the undefeated (7-0) Michigan Wolverines clash with the (2-4) Michigan State Spartans in a high-stakes Big 10 football battle. Mark your calendars for Saturday, October 21st, at 7:30 ET when Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, MI, becomes the battlefield. You can catch all the action on NBC and Peacock.
The odds are set, with Michigan leading the way at -24.5 on the ATS betting lines, while the moneyline shows Michigan at -3400 and Michigan State at +1276 for Week 8. The College Football Betting Total is set at O/U 48.
In their last outings, the Wolverines dominated with a 52-7 victory over the Hoosiers, while the Spartans suffered a 27-24 loss to Rutgers. Michigan is eyeing a national title, while Michigan State is looking to secure a bowl game spot.
In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Michigan picked up the 29-7 win (last year). In the win, Michigan ran for 276 yards and threw for 167. On 3rd down, the Wolverines went 9/16.
On the other side, Michigan State completed 17 of their 30 passes for 215 yards and ran for 37 yards.
This historic matchup marks the 116th meeting between the two teams, with the Wolverines holding a commanding 72-38-5 series lead.
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Michigan Wolverines
Even though the Wolverines’ trailed by a score of 7-0 after the first quarter, Michigan managed to come back and beat the Hoosiers 52-7.
Having been favored in all of their games so far, the Wolverines have a 3-3-1 vs. the spread. Michigan’s average scoring margin for the season is +32.7 points per game.
In seven games played, the average over/under line for Michigan’s games has been set at 48.6 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 46.1 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-4.
Michigan Wolverines Stats
The Wolverines’ heads into the game, averaging 182.3 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 23rd in rushing yards and 23rd in passing yards at 231.7 yards per contest.
Michigan is averaging 39.4 points per game, which is 6th in the nation.
This season, the Wolverines’ defense has yielded an average of 90.9 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 190th. Opponents have an average of 142.1 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 55.7 when facing Michigan.
They are currently 115th in points allowed in NCAA rankings.
Offensively, the Wolverines finished with three scores on the ground against Indiana while running for 163 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Michigan scored four times and threw the ball 22 times for 244 yards.
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State is coming off a tough 27-24 loss to Rutgers. The Spartans couldn’t hold on after a strong first-half, going into halftime with a 17-10 lead. Michigan State was outscored by 10 in the second half.
Against the spread, Michigan State has gone 2-2-1 this season. The Spartans have been favored one time compared to four games as the underdog.
Michigan State has an over/under record of 2-3 so far this season.
On average their games have combined for 46.3 points with the average over/under line being 45.7 points.
Michigan State Spartans Stats
Michigan State’s offense is averaging 22 points per game, which ranks them 78th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 231.7 passing yards on average, putting them at 81st in the nation.
Their rushing attack is currently 111th in rushing yards, with an average of 200 rushing attempts per game this season.
Offensively, the Spartans finished with one score on the ground against Rutgers while running for 112 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Michigan State scored two times and threw the ball 29 times for 133 yards.
This season, the Spartans’ defense has allowed 119.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 159th. Opponents average 219.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 82 against Michigan State.
They hold the 60th position in NCAA points allowed.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Wolverines are 3-1-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Spartans are 1-2-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Wolverines are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Spartans have gone 4-4-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Wolverines’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Spartans’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Michigan vs. Michigan State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverines | -3200 | -3400 | -25 | -24.5 |
| Spartans | +1100 | +1276 | +25 | +24.5 |
4* Free Week 8 NCAA Betting Prediction: Michigan State +24.5
Michigan State’s pass defense has some momentum after containing Rutgers’ passing attack in their last game. Even as 24.5 point underdogs at home, I’m backing them to cover against Michigan.
Michigan are 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games against Michigan State, and Michigan State are 12-5 SU in their last 17 at home.
As for the total I see this one going UNDER the posted total of 48. My model calls for 43.
We’ve seen the total go UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 6 games against the Wolverines.
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Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/MSU_Football/status/1714714051903635669
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