Free NCAA Pick: Michigan vs. Iowa Odds
Looking for Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes free NCAA Week 14 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wolverines taking on the Hawkeyes on Saturday, December 2nd at the Lucas Oil Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Michigan Iowa matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
(12-0) Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2)
2023 Big Ten Championship Game
Date: Saturday, December 2nd
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
NCAA Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Michigan -22.5 | Iowa +22.5
Week 14 CFB Moneyline Odds: Michigan -7117 | Iowa +1487
College Football Betting Total: O/U 35.5
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As the 2023/24 Big Ten Conference, & College football season inches closer to its conclusion, teams still in contention hold high hopes of capturing the National Championship.
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The most recent matchup between these teams finished with a 27-14 win for Michigan. In the game, Michigan threw for 155 yards while averaging 8.6 yards per completion.
Iowa ran for 35 compared to 172 for Michigan.
Michigan has won three consecutive games against Iowa, with a big 42-3 victory in the 2021 Big Ten Championship Game. The last time the Hawkeyes defeated Michigan was in 2016, with a close 14-13 score, which kept the Wolverines from making the College Football Playoff.
It’s almost time for kickoff; get ready for what is hopefully an EPIC showdown!
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Michigan Wolverines
In their previous game, Michigan faced off against Ohio State, picking up a six-point win on a score of 30-24.
For the season, Michigan’s ATS record is 6-5-1 and they have been the favorite in every game so far.
Over the course of 12 games, the average over/under line in Michigan’s matchups has been 48.5 points. These games have had an average combined score of 47.8 points, leading to an OU record of 7-5.
Michigan Wolverines Stats
In the rushing game, the Wolverines are currently 33rd in college football with 453 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 170.8 rushing yards per game, putting them 52nd nationally. Their passing game has averaged 23.8 passes and 224.8 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 12th, averaging 37.6 points per game.
This season, the Wolverines’ defense has allowed 91.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 204th. Opponents average 155.3 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 58.6 against Michigan. They hold the 109th position in NCAA points allowed.
In the passing game, the Wolverines threw the ball 21 times for 182 and one score against Ohio State. On the ground, they averaged 4.2 yards per carry and finished with two rushing touchdowns
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa’s defense deserves most of the credit in their most recent game, as the Hawkeyes picked up a low-scoring 13-10 win over Nebraska.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Michigan, the Hawkeyes have been favored in nine games and the underdog in three. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-5-1.
This season, Iowa has posted an over/under record of 2-10 through 12 games. On average their games have combined for 30.2 points.
Iowa Hawkeyes Stats
Iowa comes into the game with an offense averaging 18, which places them at 97th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 127th nationally, with an average of 123.4 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 98th in the nation, with 418 rushing attempts per game for the season.
The Hawkeyes’ offense ended the game with one rushing touchdown vs. Nebraska and 170 rushing yards on 38 attempts. The team’s passing attack did not pick up a score, and finished with 94 while throwing the ball 28 times.
On defense, Iowa comes into the game ranked 181st in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 35.1 times per contest vs. the Hawkeyes. Overall, they are giving up 12.2 points per game, which is 51st in college football. Against the run, they are 28th in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Wolverines are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Wolverines are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Hawkeyes have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Wolverines’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Hawkeyes’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Michigan vs. Iowa Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Wolverines | -5000 | -7039 | -22 | -22.5 |
Hawkeyes | +1300 | +1465 | +22 | +22.5 |
4* Free Week 14 NCAA Betting Prediction: Iowa +22.5
I understand we might have hoped for another “The Game,” but that was last week, and now it’s a new week with a potentially good matchup ahead. On Saturday, the Michigan Wolverines (12-0, 9-0 Big Ten, 6-5-1 ATS) are facing off against the Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2, 7-2 Big Ten, 6-5-1 ATS) in the Big Ten Championship Game at Lucas Stadium in Indianapolis, kicking off at 8 p.m. ET on FOX.
Michigan held on to beat Ohio State 30-24 last Saturday at Michigan Stadium, while Iowa secured a 13-10 win over Nebraska in a game that wasn’t exactly thrilling. Iowa may struggle on offense, but their defense is impressive.
It’s worth noting that Harbaugh will be back from his 3-game suspension for the Big Ten Championship game. So, even though it’s not “The Game,” there’s still plenty of intrigue.
Even though I have Michigan winning this one straight-up, I’d stick to the moneyline. Look for this to be a closer game than expected with Michigan eventually pulling out a win over Iowa.
My point spread pick is to take Iowa to cover the spread at +22.5.
Games featuring Michigan this season have averaged 47.8 points in total. Considering the over/under line at 35.5, I’m backing the over.
Iowa’s strong defense appears to be a pivotal factor in predicting an UNDER outcome for this game. The Hawkeyes have consistently delivered on this front, with the total points going UNDER in their last 7 games overall.
Specifically against Michigan, the trend continues, as the total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 matchups. Even within the Big Ten conference, Iowa’s games tend to stay below the total, with the UNDER hitting in 5 of their last 5 conference games.
Furthermore, their impressive 7-1 SU (straight-up) record in the last 8 games and a solid 5-1 ATS (against the spread) record in December games further emphasize their defensive prowess. These trends suggest that Iowa’s defense could be the key factor in shaping the outcome of this upcoming matchup.
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Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Championship Saturday!
Championship Game Week 🏆#Hawkeyes pic.twitter.com/tWU8maXrQH
— Hawkeye Football (@HawkeyeFootball) November 27, 2023
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