Free NCAA Pick: Michigan vs. Illinois Odds
Looking for Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wolverines taking on the Fighting Illini on Saturday, October 19th at the Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Michigan Illinois matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(4-2) Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-1)
Date: Saturday, October 19th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL), Champaign, IL
Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Michigan -3.5 | Illinois +3.5
Week 8 CFB Moneyline Odds: Michigan -157 | Illinois +130
College Football Betting Total: O/U 43.5
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Buckle up for a classic Big Ten showdown in Week 8 as the Michigan Wolverines roll into Champaign to face the Illinois Fighting Illini! This isn’t just another Saturday—it’s the first ranked-versus-ranked battle at Memorial Stadium since 2000, and it’s about to be a barnburner.
Michigan comes in with a 2-1 record in conference play, holding a dominant 72-23-2 all-time edge over Illinois, but don’t count out the home team.
The Illini, sitting at 5-1, are eager to defend their turf in this historic 98th meeting between the two.
Michigan is favored by -3.5 points as they head into this week eight matchup against Illinois at Memorial Stadium in Champaign, IL. The game is set for 3:30 ET, and you can catch the action on CBS. The over/under line is currently at 43.5 points.
The Wolverines have a 4-2 record, while the Fighting Illini are 5-1 this season.
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan heads into Week 8 against Illinois with a 4-2 record, ranked 33rd in our power rankings. They’ve been strong at home (4-1) but are 0-1 on the road. We project an 88.3% chance they’ll be bowl-eligible, but their odds of winning the Big Ten are just 0.3%.
The Wolverines have only covered the spread once this season, with a 1-5 ATS record. They are 0-3 against the spread as favorites and 1-2 as underdogs, with an average scoring margin of +1.2 points per game.
Michigan’s over/under record is 4-2, with their games averaging 45.8 points. This week’s line is set at 43.5 points, slightly above their average line of 42.2 points.
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Michigan Wolverines Stats
Heading into week 8, Michigan’s offense ranks 85th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 23.5 points per game. Their passing game has struggled, ranking 125th nationally with 115 yards per game, and they are 83rd in passing attempts. Davis Warren, their leading passer, has thrown for 444 yards with a passer rating of 57, recording two touchdowns and six interceptions.
Michigan’s strength lies in their rushing attack, averaging 192.3 yards per game on 37.2 attempts. Kalel Mullings leads the ground game with 589 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. On third downs, the Wolverines convert 39% of their attempts.
Michigan’s defense is ranked 5th in the nation against the run, allowing just 76.3 rushing yards per game on 26.7 attempts, which is the 6th fewest in the country. However, they have struggled against the pass, ranking 132nd, giving up 259.8 passing yards per game and a passer rating of 88.3.
In their recent 27-17 loss to Washington, Michigan allowed 27 points and 393 total yards, including 266 passing yards. They did manage to force one interception during the game.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois enters Week 8 against Michigan with a 5-1 record, ranking 57th in our power rankings. They have a 97% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.1% chance of winning the Big Ten. At home, they are 2-0 this season.
Their average scoring margin is +11, and they are 2-1 against the spread. Illinois has been favored in just one game this season, going 0-1 ATS as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog.
Illinois games have averaged 51 points, with an average over/under line of 49.4. Their over/under record is 0-3, and this week’s line is set at 43.5 points.
Illinois Fighting Illini Stats
Heading into week 8, Illinois ranks 37th in scoring, averaging 31 points per game, and we have them 43rd in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Luke Altmyer has thrown for 1,426 yards, completing 67.7% of his passes, with 14 touchdowns and just one interception. He has a passer rating of 120, while Illinois ranks 12th nationally in passer rating.
Illinois is 56th in passing attempts per game, but 40th in completions, averaging 18.8 per game. They are converting 44.6% of their third downs. On the ground, they are 86th in rushing, averaging 140.2 yards per game. Kaden Feagin leads the team with 306 rushing yards. Pat Bryant has 446 receiving yards and seven touchdowns.
Illinois’ defense, ranked 28th nationally, has allowed 20 points per game this season. They’ve given up 151.2 rushing yards per game and 197.3 passing yards, ranking 55th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 61.2% of their passes, posting a passer rating of 81 against Illinois.
In their recent game against Purdue, Illinois’ defense struggled, allowing 49 points and 536 total yards. Purdue rushed for 239 yards and threw for 297 yards, scoring five touchdowns, including three through the air.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Michigan Wolverines are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Illinois Fighting Illini are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Michigan Wolverines are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Illinois Fighting Illini have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Michigan Wolverines’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Illinois Fighting Illini’s have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 8 NCAA Betting Prediction: Illinois +3.5
For bettors, this matchup is oozing with excitement! Michigan enters as a slight -3.5 favorite, but Illinois has been tough as nails this season, making that spread tight.
The Wolverines are a solid 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, so if you like backing trends, that’s a stat to keep in your back pocket.
The moneyline gives Michigan the edge at -157, but Illinois at +130 offers some real value for the risk-takers. With an O/U set at 43.5, expect a gritty affair where every point matters.
Illinois comes into this game as the +3.5 point underdogs at home vs. Michigan. Our projections have Michigan winning straight-up, with a final score of 27-26. With Illinois being the underdog, we like them to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 43.5 points, we have these teams combining for 53 points, so the OVER is the best play for this matchup.
This is college football at its best, folks—ranked teams, big stakes, and an electric atmosphere. Stay tuned, because this game has all the makings of a Week 8 thriller!
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Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
A game to honor all those who built this program. #Illini // #HTTO // #famILLy pic.twitter.com/jul2ntP9vW
— Illinois Football (@IlliniFootball) October 14, 2024
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