Free NCAA Pick: Michigan State vs. Oregon Odds
Looking for Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Spartans taking on the Ducks on Friday, October 4th at the Autzen Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Michigan State Oregon matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(3-2) Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks (4-0)
Date: Friday, October 4th
Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Michigan State +24 | Oregon -24
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: Michigan State +1140 | Oregon -2737
College Football Betting Total: O/U 52
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FOX will be covering the week six matchup between the Michigan State Spartans and Oregon Ducks, with kickoff set for 9:00 ET. The game will be played at Autzen Stadium in Eugene.
The Spartans enter the game with a 3-2 record, while the Ducks are undefeated at 4-0.
Oregon is heavily favored at -24 points, with the over/under line currently set at 52 points.
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State enters Week 6 against Oregon with a 3-2 record and ranks 65th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 45.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but a 0.0% chance of winning the Big Ten.
The Spartans have been favored in just one game this season, going 1-0 as the favorite and 1-2 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +2.8 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread, going 2-0 ATS on the road and 0-2 at home.
The over/under line for this week is 52 points, higher than their season average line of 45.8 points. Michigan State’s over/under record is 1-3, with their games averaging 40.8 points per contest.
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Michigan State Spartans Stats
Michigan State’s offense ranks 72nd in our power rankings heading into week 6, averaging 21.8 points per game, which places them 74th nationally. Aidan Chiles has thrown for 1,058 yards, but his passer rating is just 65, with five touchdowns and nine interceptions. Michigan State ranks 33rd in passing attempts per game.
They are converting 45.2% of their third downs, and their rushing game averages 135.8 yards per game. Kay’ron Lynch-Adams leads the team with 306 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Nick Marsh has 262 receiving yards and one touchdown.
Michigan State’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 38 points in their recent 38-7 loss to Ohio State. The Spartans gave up 486 total yards, including 298 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air, though they did manage to force one interception.
On the season, Michigan State ranks 35th nationally, allowing 19 points per game. They’ve given up 117.2 rushing yards per game and 186 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 61% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 82.2.
Oregon Ducks
Oregon enters Week 6 with a 4-0 record, ranked 9th in our power rankings. They have a 99.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 15.5% chance of winning the Big Ten. Oregon also holds the 8th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 59.6%.
The Ducks have a +17.2 average scoring margin this season but are 1-2 against the spread. They’ve been favored in three of their four games, going 1-2 ATS as the favorite.
Oregon’s games have averaged 54.8 points, with an average over/under line of 55.2 points. This week’s line is set at 52 points, with two games having higher lines and two with lower lines.
Oregon Ducks Stats
Oregon’s offense is ranked 20th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6, and they are 27th in points per game, scoring 36 per contest. Dillon Gabriel has been efficient, completing 81.5% of his passes for 1,192 yards, and Oregon leads the nation in completion percentage. Gabriel has thrown nine touchdowns and just one interception, with a passer rating of 122.
Oregon is 16th in passing completions, averaging 28.2 per game, and they are 38th in passing yards, with 301.8 per game. They have converted 49% of their third downs. On the ground, they are averaging 155.2 rushing yards per game. Jordan James leads the rushing attack with 386 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. Tez Johnson has 33 receptions for 311 yards and four touchdowns.
Oregon’s defense has been solid this season, allowing just 18.8 points per game, ranking 21st nationally. They’ve given up 115.2 rushing yards per game on 26.5 attempts, and 154.8 passing yards, with quarterbacks managing a passer rating of just 54.2, the 10th-lowest in the country.
In their recent game against UCLA, Oregon’s defense allowed only 13 points and 11 first downs. UCLA rushed 23 times for just 54 yards and threw for 125 yards, with Oregon’s defense forcing two interceptions.
Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Michigan State Spartans are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Oregon Ducks are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Michigan State Spartans are 6-2-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Oregon Ducks have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Michigan State Spartans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Oregon Ducks’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Oregon -24
Looking ahead to the Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks showdown, history tilts slightly in Oregon’s favor. The Ducks hold a 4-3 advantage in the all-time series and remain undefeated at home against the Spartans, boasting a 3-0 record at Autzen Stadium.
One of those victories came in a memorable 2014 top-10 clash, where Oregon triumphed 46-27. The last time these teams met, the Ducks eked out a hard-fought 7-6 win in the 2018 RedBox Bowl.
We’re picking Oregon for this matchup. They’ve been solid at home, going 6-3-1 in their last ten games at Autzen. Fresh off a 34-13 win over UCLA, the Ducks have the momentum to keep the streak going this week.
Oregon is favored by -24 points in their week six matchup against Michigan State. We expect Oregon to win the game, with a projected final score of 40-14 in their favor. This would also have them covering the spread as -24 point favorites.
With the over/under line set at 52 points, our projections suggest that the OVER is the best bet, as the combined score is right above the line. We’re predicting 54 points.
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Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Game 4: “Once Upon A Time In The West”#GoDucks pic.twitter.com/QrQRYP5QOq
— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) October 1, 2024
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